CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,860 EVENTS / ~39,200 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the candidate receiving the most votes win first place in the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? [ resolves 2027-08-11 (372D) ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 4 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Darline Graham 2027-08-11 87.0%
$4.5K $5.4K
A KXPRIMARYPLA…GRA
Ralph Norman 2027-08-11 11.0%
$645 $689
A KXPRIMARYPLA…NOR
Russell Fry 2027-08-11 2.0%
$21 $33
A KXPRIMARYPLA…FRY
Mark Sanford 2027-08-11 2.0%
$154 $156
A KXPRIMARYPLA…SAN
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 4 markets · share this text
If Darline Graham finishes in 1st place in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography"
sources (1) · single authority
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxprimaryplace-scrsens26-1/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxprimaryplace-scrsens26-1
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxprimaryplace-scrsens26-1")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-34WPGXDWQ8",
  "slug": "kxprimaryplace-scrsens26-1",
  "question": "Will the candidate receiving the most votes win first place in the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "south-carolina-politics",
    "republican-primary",
    "senate-election",
    "2027",
    "first-round-voting"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 4,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 6283,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →