Will El-Sayed, Flanagan, and Hong all win their respective primaries? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (91D) ]
Will progressives sweep key midwest primaries?
kalshi: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will progressives sweep key midwest primaries | 2026-11-03 | 90.0% | $853 | $13K | A | KXPROGSWEEP-…V03 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bloomberg | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If ALL of the following Democratic candidates win their 2026 primary elections: Abdul El-Sayed for Senate in Michigan, Francesca Hong for governor in Wisconsin, and Peggy Flanagan for Senate in Minnesota, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bloomberg" sources (5) · single authority
- Bloomberg venue-listed
- the United Nations Electoral Assistance Division venue-listed
- the official election authority conducting election source of record venue-listed
- Reuters venue-listed
- the Associated Press venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxprogsweep-26nov03/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxprogsweep-26nov03 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxprogsweep-26nov03") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-DKZGD9P320",
"slug": "kxprogsweep-26nov03",
"question": "Will El-Sayed, Flanagan, and Hong all win their respective primaries?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-primaries-2027",
"multiple-candidate-outcome",
"electoral-success",
"democratic-primaries",
"conjunction-condition"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 12847,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 91,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Bloomberg",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "the official election authority conducting election",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Bloomberg",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the United Nations Electoral Assistance Division",
"url": "https://dppa.un.org/en/electoral-assistance-division",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the official election authority conducting election",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}