Will the House pass a reconciliation bill? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 92.4% | $45 | $5.7K | A | KXRECNCH-26-JAN01 | ||
| Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 84.0% | $1.1K | $11K | A | KXRECNCH-26-JUL03 | ||
| Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 72.0% | $4.5K | $50K | A | KXRECNCH-26-JUN12 | ||
| Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 26.0% | $4.7K | $9.0K | A | KXRECNCH-26-JUN06 | ||
| Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 1.0% | — | $564 | A | KXRECNCH-26-MAY23 | ||
| Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 1.0% | — | $1.6K | A | KXRECNCH-26-MAY24 | ||
| Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 1.0% | $1 | $314 | A | KXRECNCH-26-JUN03 | ||
| Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 0.2% | — | $126 | A | KXRECNCH-26-MAY01 | ||
| Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 0.1% | — | $156 | A | KXRECNCH-26-MAY22 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Library of Congress | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Library of Congress" No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
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AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxrecnch-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxrecnch-26.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxrecnch-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-Y73T1JFZP5",
"slug": "kxrecnch-26",
"question": "Will the House pass a reconciliation bill?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-politics",
"legislative-action",
"house-reconciliation",
"budget-process",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 77839,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}