Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026? [ resolves 2027-11-03 (468D) ]
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 3 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada Question 6 (Right to Abortion Initiative) in Nevada | 2027-11-03 | 98.7% | — | $21 | C | KXREPRODUCTI…-NV | ||
| The Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment in Virginia | 2027-11-03 | 94.6% | — | $5.3K | C | KXREPRODUCTI…-VA | ||
| Missouri Amendment 3 in Missouri | 2027-11-03 | 30.0% | — | $1.2K | C | KXREPRODUCTI…-MO |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | The Wall Street Journal | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Nevada Question 6 (Right to Abortion Initiative), which would establish a right to abortion in the state constitution in Nevada passes, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "The Wall Street Journal" sources (18) · single authority
- The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
- CBS News venue-listed
- CNN International venue-listed
- official electoral commission or equivalent authority of geography source of record venue-listed
- the Associated Press venue-listed
- Reuters venue-listed
- The New York Times venue-listed
- The Washington Post venue-listed
- Axios venue-listed
- in hierarchical order venue-listed
- Fox News venue-listed
- BBC News venue-listed
- Politico venue-listed
- MSNBC venue-listed
- NBC News venue-listed
- ABC News venue-listed
- official government website of geography venue-listed
- Bloomberg News venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxreproductivemeasures-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxreproductivemeasures-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxreproductivemeasures-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-2SD2M7K3L4",
"slug": "kxreproductivemeasures-26",
"question": "Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"abortion-rights",
"ballot-measures",
"us-elections",
"reproductive-policy",
"state-referendums"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 3,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6544,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 63,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": "The Wall Street Journal",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "official electoral commission or equivalent authority of geography",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS News",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNN International",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "official electoral commission or equivalent authority of geography",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Washington Post",
"url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Axios",
"url": "https://www.axios.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "in hierarchical order",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "BBC News",
"url": "https://www.bbc.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MSNBC",
"url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "NBC News",
"url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ABC News",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "official government website of geography",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg News",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}