Will the Republican Party win 193 seats in the 120th Congress? [ resolves 2027-02-01 (243D) ]
Will the Republican Party win 193 seats in the 120th Congress?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win 193 seats in the 120th Congress | 2027-02-01 | 24.0% | $960 | $78K | A | KXRHOUSESEAT…193 | ||
| Will the Republican Party win 203-207 seats in the 120th Congress | 2027-02-01 | 14.0% | $96 | $11K | A | KXRHOUSESEAT…205 | ||
| Will the Republican Party win 198-202 seats in the 120th Congress | 2027-02-01 | 12.0% | $4 | $11K | A | KXRHOUSESEAT…200 | ||
| Will the Republican Party win 193-197 seats in the 120th Congress | 2027-02-01 | 11.0% | $6 | $11K | A | KXRHOUSESEAT…195 | ||
| Will the Republican Party win 208-212 seats in the 120th Congress | 2027-02-01 | 9.6% | $7 | $8.5K | A | KXRHOUSESEAT…210 | ||
| Will the Republican Party win 218-222 seats in the 120th Congress | 2027-02-01 | 9.2% | $400 | $15K | A | KXRHOUSESEAT…220 | ||
| Will the Republican Party win 213-217 seats in the 120th Congress | 2027-02-01 | 8.5% | $20 | $7.1K | A | KXRHOUSESEAT…215 | ||
| Will the Republican Party win 223-227 seats in the 120th Congress | 2027-02-01 | 4.8% | $816 | $13K | A | KXRHOUSESEAT…225 | ||
| Will the Republican Party win 237 seats in the 120th Congress | 2027-02-01 | 4.0% | — | $7.5K | A | KXRHOUSESEAT…237 | ||
| Will the Republican Party win 228-232 seats in the 120th Congress | 2027-02-01 | 3.8% | $887 | $8.7K | A | KXRHOUSESEAT…230 | ||
| Will the Republican Party win 233-237 seats in the 120th Congress | 2027-02-01 | 2.2% | — | $3.8K | A | KXRHOUSESEAT…235 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | United States Congress | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "United States Congress" No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxrhouseseats-27/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxrhouseseats-27.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxrhouseseats-27") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-F825SK9C87",
"slug": "kxrhouseseats-27",
"question": "Will the Republican Party win 193 seats in the 120th Congress?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-house-elections",
"republican-seats",
"midterms",
"2027",
"electoral-outcomes"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 175049,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "United States Congress",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}