Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report Above 46000 total vehicles delivered in 2026? [ resolves 2028-03-31 (605D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 16 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 38000 | 2028-03-31 | 93.0% | — | $150 | C | KXRIVNA-28JA…000 | ||
| > 40000 | 2028-03-31 | 99.0% | — | $8.1K | C | KXRIVNA-28JA…000 | ||
| > 42000 | 2028-03-31 | 92.0% | — | $5.3K | C | KXRIVNA-28JA…000 | ||
| > 44000 | 2028-03-31 | 98.0% | — | $5.7K | C | KXRIVNA-28JA…000 | ||
| > 46000 | 2028-03-31 | 93.0% | — | $11K | C | KXRIVNA-28JA…000 | ||
| > 48000 | 2028-03-31 | 90.0% | — | $4.8K | C | KXRIVNA-28JA…000 | ||
| > 50000 | 2028-03-31 | 86.0% | — | $6.0K | C | KXRIVNA-28JA…000 | ||
| > 52000 | 2028-03-31 | 88.0% | — | $8.5K | C | KXRIVNA-28JA…000 | ||
| > 54000 | 2028-03-31 | 84.0% | — | $336 | C | KXRIVNA-28JA…000 | ||
| > 56000 | 2028-03-31 | 81.0% | — | $3 | C | KXRIVNA-28JA…000 | ||
| > 58000 | 2028-03-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXRIVNA-28JA…000 | ||
| > 60000 | 2028-03-31 | 76.0% | $4 | $812 | C | KXRIVNA-28JA…000 | ||
| > 62000 | 2028-03-31 | 63.0% | — | $126 | C | KXRIVNA-28JA…000 | ||
| > 64000 | 2028-03-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXRIVNA-28JA…000 | ||
| > 66000 | 2028-03-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXRIVNA-28JA…000 | ||
| > 68000 | 2028-03-31 | 20.0% | — | $2 | C | KXRIVNA-28JA…000 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Fiscal.ai | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Rivian Automotive Inc. reports Above 38000 total vehicles delivered in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fiscal.ai" sources (1) · single authority
Fiscal.ai committed source
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxrivna-28jandeliv/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxrivna-28jandeliv |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxrivna-28jandeliv") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-MNW3V0NLZ3",
"slug": "kxrivna-28jandeliv",
"question": "Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report Above 46000 total vehicles delivered in 2026?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"rivian-delivery",
"automotive-production",
"annual-output",
"financial-metrics",
"2026-performance"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 16,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 50742,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 72,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Fiscal.ai",
"url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}