Starbucks Foot Traffic in July [ resolves 2026-08-15 (11D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 9 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 520 | 2026-08-15 | 99.0% | $50 | $1.4K | C | KXSBUXFT-26A…520 | ||
| > 530 | 2026-08-15 | 97.0% | — | $1.3K | C | KXSBUXFT-26A…530 | ||
| > 540 | 2026-08-15 | 20.0% | $211 | $1.5K | C | KXSBUXFT-26A…540 | ||
| > 550 | 2026-08-15 | 14.0% | — | $350 | C | KXSBUXFT-26A…550 | ||
| > 560 | 2026-08-15 | 11.0% | — | $190 | C | KXSBUXFT-26A…560 | ||
| > 570 | 2026-08-15 | 11.0% | — | $297 | C | KXSBUXFT-26A…570 | ||
| > 580 | 2026-08-15 | 10.0% | — | $33 | C | KXSBUXFT-26A…580 | ||
| > 590 | 2026-08-15 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSBUXFT-26A…590 | ||
| > 600 | 2026-08-15 | 10.0% | — | $0 | C | KXSBUXFT-26A…600 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Carbon Arc | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US) for July 2026 is above 520 Million, then the market resolves to Yes.
For purposes of this market, the “Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Foot Traffic (US)” will resolve on the first July 2026 value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Carbon Arc" ↗ sources (1) · single authority
- Carbon Arc source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsbuxft-26aug08/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsbuxft-26aug08 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxsbuxft-26aug08") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-QY3Z0PR0H3",
"slug": "kxsbuxft-26aug08",
"question": "Starbucks Foot Traffic in July",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"starbucks",
"foot-traffic",
"retail-metrics",
"us-commerce",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 5134,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 78,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "Carbon Arc",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.carbonarc.co/welcome",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Carbon Arc",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Carbon Arc",
"url": "https://www.carbonarc.co/welcome",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}