Will the Republican nominee be from South Carolina by the 2024 election? [ resolves 2026-06-16 (13D) ]
Will Mark Smith be the Republican nominee for SC-01?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Smith be the Republican nominee for SC-01 | 2026-06-16 | 76.0% | $31 | $10K | A | KXSC01R-26-MSMI | ||
| Will Alex Pelbath be the Republican nominee for SC-01 | 2026-06-16 | 12.0% | $33 | $1.8K | A | KXSC01R-26-APEL | ||
| Will Sam McCown be the Republican nominee for SC-01 | 2026-06-16 | 11.0% | — | $695 | A | KXSC01R-26-SMCC | ||
| Will Jay Byars be the Republican nominee for SC-01 | 2026-06-16 | 4.8% | — | $96 | A | KXSC01R-26-JBYA | ||
| Will Jenny Costa Honeycutt be the Republican nominee for SC-01 | 2026-06-16 | 4.7% | — | $205 | A | KXSC01R-26-JHON | ||
| Will Mark Sanford be the Republican nominee for SC-01 | 2026-06-16 | 1.0% | — | $36 | A | KXSC01R-26-MSAN | ||
| Will Logan Cunningham be the Republican nominee for SC-01 | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | — | $1 | A | KXSC01R-26-LCUN | ||
| Will Justin Myers be the Republican nominee for SC-01 | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXSC01R-26-JMYE |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
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| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsc01r-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsc01r-26.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxsc01r-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-JBYC14VPK5",
"slug": "kxsc01r-26",
"question": "Will the Republican nominee be from South Carolina by the 2024 election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-politics",
"2027-election",
"house-race",
"south-carolina",
"republican-primary"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 13145,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}