CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will there be a winner determined in the Indiana Secretary of State election? [ resolves 2026-11-11 (161D) ]

Indiana Secretary of State winner?

kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date
kalshi 2 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Indiana Secretary of State winner 2026-11-11 59.0%
$6.5K
C KXSECSTATEIN…GOP
Indiana Secretary of State winner 2026-11-11 41.0%
$2.2K
C KXSECSTATEIN…DEM
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff uncommitted not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 2 markets · share this text
If a representative of the Democratic party party is elected the Secretary of State of Indiana in the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
platform source field kalshi.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsecstatein-26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsecstatein-26.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxsecstatein-26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3N720WW2N8",
  "slug": "kxsecstatein-26",
  "question": "Will there be a winner determined in the Indiana Secretary of State election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "indiana-politics",
    "secretary-of-state",
    "2027-election",
    "state-office",
    "us-elections"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 2,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 8615,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 86,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →