Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Georgia? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (120D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 9 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Collins | 2026-11-03 | 93.1% | $21K | $418K | A | KXSENATEGAR-…COL | ||
| Derek Dooley | 2026-11-03 | 7.2% | $532 | $13K | A | KXSENATEGAR-…DOO | ||
| Buddy Carter | 2026-11-03 | 0.9% | — | $353 | A | KXSENATEGAR-26-BC | ||
| Marjorie Taylor-Greene | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $20 | A | KXSENATEGAR-26-MTG | ||
| Brian Kemp | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $52 | A | KXSENATEGAR-26-BK | ||
| Reagan Box | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $4 | A | KXSENATEGAR-26-RB | ||
| John King | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $4 | A | KXSENATEGAR-…KIN | ||
| Rich McCormick | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $4 | A | KXSENATEGAR-…MCC | ||
| Brad Raffensperger | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $13 | A | KXSENATEGAR-…RAF |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Derek Dooley wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II Georgia Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" sources (2) · single authority
- Republican Party source of record venue-listed
- Democratic Party venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Buddy Carter be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Georgia? | kalshi | 2026-11-03 | 1% |
| NO | Will Marjorie Taylor-Greene be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Georgia? | kalshi | 2026-11-03 | 0% |
| NO | Will Brian Kemp be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Georgia? | kalshi | 2026-11-03 | 0% |
| NO | Will Reagan Box be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Georgia? | kalshi | 2026-11-03 | 0% |
| NO | Will John King be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Georgia? | kalshi | 2026-11-03 | 0% |
| NO | Will Rich McCormick be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Georgia? | kalshi | 2026-11-03 | 0% |
| NO | Will Brad Raffensperger be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Georgia? | kalshi | 2026-11-03 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (7 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsenategar-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsenategar-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxsenategar-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-T993NRVBH0",
"slug": "kxsenategar-26",
"question": "Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Georgia?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"georgia-senate",
"republican-primary",
"2026-election",
"us-politics",
"nomination"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 431744,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Republican Party",
"url": "https://gop.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Democratic Party",
"url": "https://democrats.org/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}