Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Maine? [ resolved 2026-06-10 ]
kalshi: [B] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 9 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Platner | 2026-06-10 | 100.0% | $140K | $3.33M | B | KXSENATEMED-26-GRA | ||
| Jared Golden | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | $16 | $105 | B | KXSENATEMED-26-JG | ||
| Troy Jackson | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | — | $1 | B | KXSENATEMED-26-TJ | ||
| Janet Mills | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | $2.9K | $44K | B | KXSENATEMED-26-JM | ||
| Dan Kleban | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | — | $3 | B | KXSENATEMED-…LEB | ||
| Chellie Pingree | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | — | $12 | B | KXSENATEMED-26-CP | ||
| Jordan Wood | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | — | $11 | B | KXSENATEMED-…WOO | ||
| David Costello | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | $74 | $343 | B | KXSENATEMED-…COS | ||
| Andrea LaFlamme | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | — | $21 | B | KXSENATEMED-…LAF |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Jared Golden wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Maine Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Jared Golden be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Maine? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Will Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Maine? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Maine? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Will Dan Kleban be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Maine? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Will Chellie Pingree be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Maine? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Maine? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| YES | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Maine? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 100% |
| NO | Will David Costello be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Maine? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Will Andrea LaFlamme be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Maine? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (9 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsenatemed-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsenatemed-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxsenatemed-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-G33KKHRDN4",
"slug": "kxsenatemed-26",
"question": "Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Maine?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"maine-senate",
"democratic-primary",
"2026-election",
"us-politics",
"nominee-selection"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 3377164,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 57,
"rcg_caps": [
"adversarial_ground_truth"
],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}