Will the Oklahoma Democratic Senate nominee be determined before the 2026 general election? [ resolves 2026-08 – 2026-11 ]
Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Troy W. Green wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Oklahoma Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" sources (2) · single authority
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will N’Kiyla Thomas be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma? | kalshi | 2026-08-26 | 100% |
| NO | Will Troy W. Green be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| NO | Will Rebekah LaVann be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (3 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- N'Kiyla Thomas backed as Oklahoma Dem Senate pick at 92% 92% · $10K 24h
- Kalshi prices N'Kiyla Thomas as the Oklahoma Democratic Senate nominee at 92%, near-settled by market consensus.
- 24h volume of $10K is 30% of all-time, a notable single-day share for a state-level primary contract.
- Oklahoma Senate primary activity at this price suggests a filing or ballot qualification update may have resolved remaining uncertainty.
- Resolves upon official Democratic primary result; high odds leave little room for a reversal.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsenateokd-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsenateokd-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxsenateokd-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-CZVRJYSHK1",
"slug": "kxsenateokd-26",
"question": "Will the Oklahoma Democratic Senate nominee be determined before the 2026 general election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-senate",
"oklahoma",
"democratic-nominee",
"2026-election",
"primary-politics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 4,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 14018,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Republican Party",
"url": "https://gop.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Democratic Party",
"url": "https://democrats.org/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}