CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma? [ resolves 2026-06-23 (20D) ]

Will Gentner Drummond be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
kalshi 9 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma 2026-06-23 99.0%
$8.3K
A KXSENATEOKR-…HER
Will Gentner Drummond be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma 2026-06-23 8.4%
$176
A KXSENATEOKR-…DRU
Will Alan Armstrong be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma 2026-06-23 6.0%
$74
A KXSENATEOKR-…ARM
Will Kevin Stitt be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma 2026-06-23 4.0%
$421
A KXSENATEOKR-…STI
Will Josh Brecheen be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma 2026-06-23 3.0%
$37
A KXSENATEOKR-…BRE
Will Nick Hankins be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma 2026-06-23 0.1%
$16
A KXSENATEOKR-…HAN
Will Ron Meinhardt be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma 2026-06-23 0.1%
$17
A KXSENATEOKR-…MEI
Will Wayne Lonny Washington be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma 2026-06-23 0.1%
$16
A KXSENATEOKR-…WAS
Will Stephanie Bice be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma 2026-06-23 0.1%
$3
A KXSENATEOKR-…BIC
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Republican Party not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 9 markets · share this text
If Nick Hankins wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II Oklahoma Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsenateokr-26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsenateokr-26.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxsenateokr-26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GT3MGFQY76",
  "slug": "kxsenateokr-26",
  "question": "Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "oklahoma-politics",
    "republican-primary",
    "us-senate-2026",
    "nomination-race",
    "electoral-process"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 9,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 9077,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 86,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Republican Party",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →