Will the Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee be decided by June 2026? [ resolved 2026-06-17 ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 9 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Hern | 2026-06-17 | 100.0% | $1.4K | $9.1K | A | KXSENATEOKR-…HER | ||
| Nick Hankins | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | — | $16 | A | KXSENATEOKR-…HAN | ||
| Ron Meinhardt | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | — | $18 | A | KXSENATEOKR-…MEI | ||
| Wayne Lonny Washington | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | — | $17 | A | KXSENATEOKR-…WAS | ||
| Gentner Drummond | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | — | $3 | A | KXSENATEOKR-…DRU | ||
| Kevin Stitt | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | $0 | $635 | A | KXSENATEOKR-…STI | ||
| Stephanie Bice | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | — | $4 | A | KXSENATEOKR-…BIC | ||
| Josh Brecheen | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | — | $2 | A | KXSENATEOKR-…BRE | ||
| Alan Armstrong | 2026-06-17 | 0.0% | — | $44 | A | KXSENATEOKR-…ARM |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Nick Hankins wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II Oklahoma Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" sources (2) · single authority
- Republican Party source of record venue-listed
- Democratic Party venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Nick Hankins be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| NO | Will Ron Meinhardt be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| NO | Will Wayne Lonny Washington be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| NO | Will Gentner Drummond be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| NO | Will Kevin Stitt be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| NO | Will Stephanie Bice be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| YES | Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 100% |
| NO | Will Josh Brecheen be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| NO | Will Alan Armstrong be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Oklahoma? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (9 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsenateokr-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsenateokr-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxsenateokr-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-GT3MGFQY76",
"slug": "kxsenateokr-26",
"question": "Will the Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee be decided by June 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"oklahoma-politics",
"republican-primary",
"us-senate-2026",
"nomination-race",
"electoral-process"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 9826,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Republican Party",
"url": "https://gop.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Democratic Party",
"url": "https://democrats.org/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}