Will the silver close price be above 59.25 USD/t.oz on August 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? [ resolves 2026-08-11 (7D) ]
kalshi: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 40 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $53 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXSILVERD-26…T53 | ||
| ≥ $53 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXSILVERD-26….25 | ||
| ≥ $53.5 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXSILVERD-26….50 | ||
| ≥ $54 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXSILVERD-26….75 | ||
| ≥ $54 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXSILVERD-26…T54 | ||
| ≥ $54 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXSILVERD-26….25 | ||
| ≥ $54.5 | 2026-08-11 | 98.0% | $250 | $250 | A | KXSILVERD-26….50 | ||
| ≥ $55 | 2026-08-11 | 98.0% | $397 | $397 | A | KXSILVERD-26….25 | ||
| ≥ $55 | 2026-08-11 | 97.0% | $6 | $6 | A | KXSILVERD-26…T55 | ||
| ≥ $55 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXSILVERD-26….75 | ||
| ≥ $55.5 | 2026-08-11 | 98.0% | $441 | $441 | A | KXSILVERD-26….50 | ||
| ≥ $56 | 2026-08-11 | 99.0% | $219 | $219 | A | KXSILVERD-26….75 | ||
| ≥ $56 | 2026-08-11 | 98.0% | $197 | $198 | A | KXSILVERD-26…T56 | ||
| ≥ $56 | 2026-08-11 | 98.0% | $766 | $766 | A | KXSILVERD-26….25 | ||
| ≥ $56.5 | 2026-08-11 | 98.0% | $198 | $198 | A | KXSILVERD-26….50 | ||
| ≥ $57 | 2026-08-11 | 99.0% | $398 | $400 | A | KXSILVERD-26….75 | ||
| ≥ $57 | 2026-08-11 | 99.0% | $112 | $119 | A | KXSILVERD-26…T57 | ||
| ≥ $57 | 2026-08-11 | 99.0% | $623 | $625 | A | KXSILVERD-26….25 | ||
| ≥ $57.5 | 2026-08-11 | 99.0% | $1.0K | $1.1K | A | KXSILVERD-26….50 | ||
| ≥ $58 | 2026-08-11 | 99.0% | $1.4K | $1.4K | A | KXSILVERD-26….75 | ||
| ≥ $58 | 2026-08-11 | 97.0% | $2.4K | $2.4K | A | KXSILVERD-26…T58 | ||
| ≥ $58 | 2026-08-11 | 97.0% | $1.5K | $1.5K | A | KXSILVERD-26….25 | ||
| ≥ $58.5 | 2026-08-11 | 95.0% | $2.5K | $2.7K | A | KXSILVERD-26….50 | ||
| ≥ $59 | 2026-08-11 | 96.0% | $4.1K | $4.2K | A | KXSILVERD-26…T59 | ||
| ≥ $59 | 2026-08-11 | 95.0% | $4.1K | $4.1K | A | KXSILVERD-26….75 | ||
| ≥ $59 | 2026-08-11 | 91.0% | $4.2K | $4.4K | A | KXSILVERD-26….25 | ||
| ≥ $59.5 | 2026-08-11 | 79.0% | $3.4K | $3.7K | A | KXSILVERD-26….50 | ||
| ≥ $60 | 2026-08-11 | 54.0% | $3.3K | $3.5K | A | KXSILVERD-26….75 | ||
| ≥ $60 | 2026-08-11 | 33.0% | $1.1K | $1.2K | A | KXSILVERD-26…T60 | ||
| ≥ $60 | 2026-08-11 | 17.0% | $234 | $234 | A | KXSILVERD-26….25 | ||
| ≥ $60.5 | 2026-08-11 | 12.0% | $75 | $75 | A | KXSILVERD-26….50 | ||
| ≥ $61 | 2026-08-11 | 5.0% | $32 | $32 | A | KXSILVERD-26….75 | ||
| ≥ $61 | 2026-08-11 | 5.0% | $7 | $7 | A | KXSILVERD-26…T61 | ||
| ≥ $61 | 2026-08-11 | 2.0% | $14 | $14 | A | KXSILVERD-26….25 | ||
| ≥ $61.5 | 2026-08-11 | 2.0% | $7 | $7 | A | KXSILVERD-26….50 | ||
| ≥ $62 | 2026-08-11 | 3.0% | $9 | $9 | A | KXSILVERD-26….25 | ||
| ≥ $62 | 2026-08-11 | 2.0% | $11 | $11 | A | KXSILVERD-26…T62 | ||
| ≥ $62 | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXSILVERD-26….75 | ||
| ≥ $62.5 | 2026-08-11 | 1.0% | $4 | $4 | A | KXSILVERD-26….50 | ||
| ≥ $63 | 2026-08-11 | 1.0% | $1 | $1 | A | KXSILVERD-26….75 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Pyth - Silver | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXSILVERD, notice id COMMODITIES-bulk-2026-04-14):
**Important information:** Effective starting the Thursday, July 30th event, daily Silver markets resolution will transition to a continuous index feed (Metal.Index.SILVER/USD, ID 3154).
[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on August 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 53 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Pyth - Silver" ↗ sources (2) · single authority
- Pyth - Silver source of record venue-listed
- Metal.Index.SILVER/USD from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsilverd-26aug0417/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsilverd-26aug0417 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxsilverd-26aug0417") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-GCHCDBSG56",
"slug": "kxsilverd-26aug0417",
"question": "Will the silver close price be above 59.25 USD/t.oz on August 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"silver-price",
"commodity-futures",
"spot-price-settlement",
"august-2026",
"financial-derivatives"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 40,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 34194,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Pyth - Silver",
"resolution_source_url": "https://app.pyth.com/explore/Metal.Index.SILVER%2FUSD?returnUrl=%2Fexplore%3Fstate%3Dstable",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Pyth - Silver",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Pyth - Silver",
"url": "https://app.pyth.com/explore/Metal.Index.SILVER%2FUSD?returnUrl=%2Fexplore%3Fstate%3Dstable",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Metal.Index.SILVER/USD",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}