CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,860 EVENTS / ~39,200 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the silver close price be above 59.25 USD/t.oz on August 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? [ resolves 2026-08-11 (7D) ]

kalshi: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 40 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ $53 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXSILVERD-26…T53
≥ $53 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXSILVERD-26….25
≥ $53.5 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXSILVERD-26….50
≥ $54 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXSILVERD-26….75
≥ $54 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXSILVERD-26…T54
≥ $54 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXSILVERD-26….25
≥ $54.5 2026-08-11 98.0%
$250 $250
A KXSILVERD-26….50
≥ $55 2026-08-11 98.0%
$397 $397
A KXSILVERD-26….25
≥ $55 2026-08-11 97.0%
$6 $6
A KXSILVERD-26…T55
≥ $55 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXSILVERD-26….75
≥ $55.5 2026-08-11 98.0%
$441 $441
A KXSILVERD-26….50
≥ $56 2026-08-11 99.0%
$219 $219
A KXSILVERD-26….75
≥ $56 2026-08-11 98.0%
$197 $198
A KXSILVERD-26…T56
≥ $56 2026-08-11 98.0%
$766 $766
A KXSILVERD-26….25
≥ $56.5 2026-08-11 98.0%
$198 $198
A KXSILVERD-26….50
≥ $57 2026-08-11 99.0%
$398 $400
A KXSILVERD-26….75
≥ $57 2026-08-11 99.0%
$112 $119
A KXSILVERD-26…T57
≥ $57 2026-08-11 99.0%
$623 $625
A KXSILVERD-26….25
≥ $57.5 2026-08-11 99.0%
$1.0K $1.1K
A KXSILVERD-26….50
≥ $58 2026-08-11 99.0%
$1.4K $1.4K
A KXSILVERD-26….75
≥ $58 2026-08-11 97.0%
$2.4K $2.4K
A KXSILVERD-26…T58
≥ $58 2026-08-11 97.0%
$1.5K $1.5K
A KXSILVERD-26….25
≥ $58.5 2026-08-11 95.0%
$2.5K $2.7K
A KXSILVERD-26….50
≥ $59 2026-08-11 96.0%
$4.1K $4.2K
A KXSILVERD-26…T59
≥ $59 2026-08-11 95.0%
$4.1K $4.1K
A KXSILVERD-26….75
≥ $59 2026-08-11 91.0%
$4.2K $4.4K
A KXSILVERD-26….25
≥ $59.5 2026-08-11 79.0%
$3.4K $3.7K
A KXSILVERD-26….50
≥ $60 2026-08-11 54.0%
$3.3K $3.5K
A KXSILVERD-26….75
≥ $60 2026-08-11 33.0%
$1.1K $1.2K
A KXSILVERD-26…T60
≥ $60 2026-08-11 17.0%
$234 $234
A KXSILVERD-26….25
≥ $60.5 2026-08-11 12.0%
$75 $75
A KXSILVERD-26….50
≥ $61 2026-08-11 5.0%
$32 $32
A KXSILVERD-26….75
≥ $61 2026-08-11 5.0%
$7 $7
A KXSILVERD-26…T61
≥ $61 2026-08-11 2.0%
$14 $14
A KXSILVERD-26….25
≥ $61.5 2026-08-11 2.0%
$7 $7
A KXSILVERD-26….50
≥ $62 2026-08-11 3.0%
$9 $9
A KXSILVERD-26….25
≥ $62 2026-08-11 2.0%
$11 $11
A KXSILVERD-26…T62
≥ $62 2026-08-11 0.0%
A KXSILVERD-26….75
≥ $62.5 2026-08-11 1.0%
$4 $4
A KXSILVERD-26….50
≥ $63 2026-08-11 1.0%
$1 $1
A KXSILVERD-26….75
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Pyth - Silver link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 40 markets · share this text
EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXSILVERD, notice id COMMODITIES-bulk-2026-04-14): **Important information:** Effective starting the Thursday, July 30th event, daily Silver markets resolution will transition to a continuous index feed (Metal.Index.SILVER/USD, ID 3154). [END EXCHANGE NOTICE] If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on August 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 53 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Pyth - Silver"
sources (2) · single authority
  • Pyth - Silver source of record venue-listed
  • Metal.Index.SILVER/USD from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsilverd-26aug0417/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsilverd-26aug0417
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxsilverd-26aug0417")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GCHCDBSG56",
  "slug": "kxsilverd-26aug0417",
  "question": "Will the silver close price be above 59.25 USD/t.oz on August 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "silver-price",
    "commodity-futures",
    "spot-price-settlement",
    "august-2026",
    "financial-derivatives"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 40,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 34194,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 100,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Pyth - Silver",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://app.pyth.com/explore/Metal.Index.SILVER%2FUSD?returnUrl=%2Fexplore%3Fstate%3Dstable",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Pyth - Silver",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Pyth - Silver",
      "url": "https://app.pyth.com/explore/Metal.Index.SILVER%2FUSD?returnUrl=%2Fexplore%3Fstate%3Dstable",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Metal.Index.SILVER/USD",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →