CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,860 EVENTS / ~39,200 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the silver close price be above 46.99 USD/t.oz on August 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? [ resolves 2026-08-14 (10D) ]

kalshi: [C] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 40 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ $39 2026-08-14 99.0%
$200
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $40 2026-08-14 99.0%
$201
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $41 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $42 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $43 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $44 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $45 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $46 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $47 2026-08-14 99.0%
$2.8K
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $48 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $49 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $50 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $51 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $52 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $53 2026-08-14 98.0%
$196 $216
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $54 2026-08-14 93.0%
$23
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $55 2026-08-14 81.0%
$1
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $56 2026-08-14 86.0%
$24 $28
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $57 2026-08-14 89.0%
$320 $613
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $58 2026-08-14 85.0%
$149 $328
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $59 2026-08-14 64.0%
$268 $423
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $60 2026-08-14 44.0%
$137 $261
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $61 2026-08-14 25.0%
$1 $6
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $62 2026-08-14 9.0%
$1 $1
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $63 2026-08-14 7.0%
$8 $8
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $64 2026-08-14 4.0%
$0 $4
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $65 2026-08-14 2.0%
$1
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $66 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $67 2026-08-14 1.0%
$4
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $68 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $69 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $70 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $71 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $72 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $73 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $74 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $75 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $76 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $77 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
≥ $78 2026-08-14 0.0%
C KXSILVERW-26….99
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Pyth - Silver link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 40 markets · share this text
EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXSILVERW, notice id COMMODITIES-bulk-2026-04-14): **Important information:** Effective starting the conclusion of Friday, July 31st event, weekly Silver markets resolution will transition to a continuous index feed (Metal.Index.SILVER/USD, ID 3154). [END EXCHANGE NOTICE] If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on August 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 38.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Pyth - Silver"
sources (2) · single authority
  • Pyth - Silver source of record venue-listed
  • Metal.Index.SILVER/USD from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsilverw-26aug0717/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsilverw-26aug0717
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxsilverw-26aug0717")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-K80TT5CVH2",
  "slug": "kxsilverw-26aug0717",
  "question": "Will the silver close price be above 46.99 USD/t.oz on August 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "silver-price",
    "commodities",
    "spot-price",
    "2026",
    "price-prediction"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 40,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 5139,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 100,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "exchange_notice_source_conflict"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "Pyth - Silver",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Pyth - Silver",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Pyth - Silver",
      "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Metal.Index.SILVER/USD",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →