Will the silver close price be above 46.99 USD/t.oz on August 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? [ resolves 2026-08-14 (10D) ]
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 40 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $39 | 2026-08-14 | 99.0% | — | $200 | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $40 | 2026-08-14 | 99.0% | — | $201 | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $41 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $42 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $43 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $44 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $45 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $46 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $47 | 2026-08-14 | 99.0% | — | $2.8K | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $48 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $49 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $50 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $51 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $52 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $53 | 2026-08-14 | 98.0% | $196 | $216 | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $54 | 2026-08-14 | 93.0% | — | $23 | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $55 | 2026-08-14 | 81.0% | — | $1 | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $56 | 2026-08-14 | 86.0% | $24 | $28 | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $57 | 2026-08-14 | 89.0% | $320 | $613 | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $58 | 2026-08-14 | 85.0% | $149 | $328 | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $59 | 2026-08-14 | 64.0% | $268 | $423 | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $60 | 2026-08-14 | 44.0% | $137 | $261 | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $61 | 2026-08-14 | 25.0% | $1 | $6 | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $62 | 2026-08-14 | 9.0% | $1 | $1 | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $63 | 2026-08-14 | 7.0% | $8 | $8 | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $64 | 2026-08-14 | 4.0% | $0 | $4 | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $65 | 2026-08-14 | 2.0% | — | $1 | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $66 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $67 | 2026-08-14 | 1.0% | — | $4 | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $68 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $69 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $70 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $71 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $72 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $73 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $74 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $75 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $76 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $77 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 | ||
| ≥ $78 | 2026-08-14 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSILVERW-26….99 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Pyth - Silver | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXSILVERW, notice id COMMODITIES-bulk-2026-04-14):
**Important information:** Effective starting the conclusion of Friday, July 31st event, weekly Silver markets resolution will transition to a continuous index feed (Metal.Index.SILVER/USD, ID 3154).
[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on August 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 38.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Pyth - Silver" ↗ sources (2) · single authority
- Pyth - Silver source of record venue-listed
- Metal.Index.SILVER/USD from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsilverw-26aug0717/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsilverw-26aug0717 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxsilverw-26aug0717") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-K80TT5CVH2",
"slug": "kxsilverw-26aug0717",
"question": "Will the silver close price be above 46.99 USD/t.oz on August 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"silver-price",
"commodities",
"spot-price",
"2026",
"price-prediction"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 40,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 5139,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [
"exchange_notice_source_conflict"
],
"resolution_source": "Pyth - Silver",
"resolution_source_url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Pyth - Silver",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Pyth - Silver",
"url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Metal.Index.SILVER/USD",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}