South Korea exports year-over-year, July 31, 2026 [ resolved 2026-07-31 ]
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 9 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 50% | 2026-07-31 | 100.0% | — | $2.8K | C | KXSKEXPYOY-2…0.0 | ||
| ≥ 55% | 2026-07-31 | 100.0% | — | $1.2K | C | KXSKEXPYOY-2…5.0 | ||
| ≥ 60% | 2026-07-31 | 100.0% | $2 | $244 | C | KXSKEXPYOY-2…0.0 | ||
| ≥ 65% | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | $374 | C | KXSKEXPYOY-2…5.0 | ||
| ≥ 70% | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | $46 | $278 | C | KXSKEXPYOY-2…0.0 | ||
| ≥ 75% | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | $319 | C | KXSKEXPYOY-2…5.0 | ||
| ≥ 80% | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | $39 | C | KXSKEXPYOY-2…0.0 | ||
| ≥ 85% | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | $79 | C | KXSKEXPYOY-2…5.0 | ||
| ≥ 90% | 2026-07-31 | 0.0% | — | $161 | C | KXSKEXPYOY-2…0.0 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 is above 50.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation" ↗ sources (2)
Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation venue-listed Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 be above 50.0%? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 100% |
| YES | Will South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 be above 55.0%? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 100% |
| YES | Will South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 be above 60.0%? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 100% |
| NO | Will South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 be above 65.0%? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 be above 70.0%? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 be above 75.0%? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 be above 80.0%? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 be above 85.0%? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will South Korea exports YoY for July 2026 be above 90.0%? | kalshi | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (9 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxskexpyoy-26july31/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxskexpyoy-26july31 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxskexpyoy-26july31") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-0N98G56X11",
"slug": "kxskexpyoy-26july31",
"question": "South Korea exports year-over-year, July 31, 2026",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"south-korea-exports",
"year-over-year-growth",
"economic-indicator",
"july-2026",
"trade-data"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 5512,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 46,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"adversarial_ground_truth",
"commitment_none"
],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"source_status": "no_source_stated",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}