Snap global daily active users, Q2 2026 [ resolved 2026-08-03 ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 6 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 480 | 2026-08-03 | 100.0% | — | $2.0K | C | KXSNAP-26AUG…000 | ||
| > 484 | 2026-08-03 | 100.0% | — | $2.7K | C | KXSNAP-26AUG…000 | ||
| > 488 | 2026-08-03 | 100.0% | $8 | $1.5K | C | KXSNAP-26AUG…000 | ||
| > 492 | 2026-08-03 | 100.0% | — | $1.1K | C | KXSNAP-26AUG…000 | ||
| > 496 | 2026-08-03 | 0.0% | — | $359 | C | KXSNAP-26AUG…000 | ||
| > 500 | 2026-08-03 | 0.0% | — | $48 | C | KXSNAP-26AUG…000 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Fiscal.ai | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Snap Inc. reports Above 480000000 global daily active users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fiscal.ai" sources (1) · single authority
Fiscal.ai committed source
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Snap Inc. report Above 480 million global daily active users in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-03 | 100% |
| YES | Will Snap Inc. report Above 484 million global daily active users in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-03 | 100% |
| YES | Will Snap Inc. report Above 488 million global daily active users in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-03 | 100% |
| YES | Will Snap Inc. report Above 492 million global daily active users in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-03 | 100% |
| NO | Will Snap Inc. report Above 496 million global daily active users in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-03 | 0% |
| NO | Will Snap Inc. report Above 500 million global daily active users in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-03 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (6 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- Snap Q2 DAU above 484M stays a strong 90% favorite 90% · $12K 24h
- At 90%, the market treats Snap clearing 484M daily active users in Q2 as near-certain.
- $11.9K in 24h represents 80% of all-time contract volume, nearly the entire lifetime traded in one session.
- Snap's Q2 earnings report is imminent; this volume spike likely reflects last-chance positioning before resolution.
- Resolves on Snap's official Q2 earnings disclosure of global DAU.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsnap-26augdau/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsnap-26augdau |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxsnap-26augdau") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-7KQYTRS9D8",
"slug": "kxsnap-26augdau",
"question": "Snap global daily active users, Q2 2026",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"snap-dau",
"user-metrics",
"q2-2026",
"earnings-report",
"social-media"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 6,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 7716,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Fiscal.ai",
"url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}