Will Trump restrict SNAP benefits by 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-04 (165D) ]
Will a bill that restricts SNAP benefits become law before Jan 4, 2027?
kalshi: [B] multiple sources, tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a bill that restricts SNAP benefits become law before Jan 4, 2027 | 2027-01-04 | 20.0% | $28 | $6.8K | B | KXSNAPRESTRI…N04 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | White House | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If a bill that restricts SNAP benefits become law before Jan 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will resolve to Yes if a bill that explicitly restricts the types of food that can be purchased using Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) benefits is signed into law by the President on or before January 3, 2027 (the end of the 119th Congress). The bill must clearly impose new federal restrictions on eligible SNAP purchases. Administrative rule changes, state-level restrictions, or temporary pilot programs do not count.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "White House" sources (2) · single authority
- White House source of record venue-listed
- Library of Congress venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsnaprestrict-27/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsnaprestrict-27 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxsnaprestrict-27") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-ZFR6MB25G2",
"slug": "kxsnaprestrict-27",
"question": "Will Trump restrict SNAP benefits by 2027?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"trump-administration",
"snap-benefits",
"welfare-policy",
"legislative-action",
"us-federal-policy"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6771,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 77,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "White House",
"resolution_source_url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "White House",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "White House",
"url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Library of Congress",
"url": "https://congress.gov",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}