Will a UK snap election be announced by 2026-09-08? [ resolves 2026-09 – 2028-01 ]
Will the UK announce a snap election before Jan 1, 2027?
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 3 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will announce a snap election before Sep 1, 2026 | 2026-09-08 | 3.0% | — | $111 | C | KXSNAPUK-27J…P01 | ||
| Will the UK announce a snap election before Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-08 | 11.0% | — | $6.0K | C | KXSNAPUK-27JAN01 | ||
| Will announce a snap election before Jan 1, 2028 | 2028-01-08 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXSNAPUK-27J…-28 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Fox News | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If United Kingdom officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
A "snap election" is a national election for the legislature or head of government called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally or legally required date. The announcement must be made by a person or body with the legal authority to call such elections, must specify an actual election date, and must occur after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled to take place.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fox News" sources (17)
- Fox News venue-listed
- MSNBC venue-listed
- The Guardian venue-listed
- The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
- Semafor venue-listed
- ABC venue-listed
- BBC venue-listed
- The Information venue-listed
- Financial Times venue-listed
- CBS venue-listed
- Axios venue-listed
- CNN venue-listed
- Reuters venue-listed
- The Washington Post venue-listed
- the Associated Press venue-listed
- Politico venue-listed
- The New York Times venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsnapuk-27jan01/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsnapuk-27jan01 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxsnapuk-27jan01") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-BZ9VL5B3M0",
"slug": "kxsnapuk-27jan01",
"question": "Will a UK snap election be announced by 2026-09-08?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"uk-politics",
"snap-election",
"parliament-dissolution",
"2026",
"political-announcement"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 3,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6093,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 80,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "Fox News",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MSNBC",
"url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Guardian",
"url": "https://www.theguardian.com/us",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Semafor",
"url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ABC",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "BBC",
"url": "https://www.bbc.com/news",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Information",
"url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Financial Times",
"url": "https://ft.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Axios",
"url": "https://www.axios.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNN",
"url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Washington Post",
"url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}