Will Snowflake have customers with trailing 12-month revenue greater than $1 million in Q2 2027? [ resolves 2026-12-24 (154D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 16 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $805 | 2026-12-24 | 97.0% | — | $60 | C | KXSNOWFLAKE-…805 | ||
| ≥ $810 | 2026-12-24 | 97.0% | — | $233 | C | KXSNOWFLAKE-…810 | ||
| ≥ $815 | 2026-12-24 | 90.0% | — | $1.5K | C | KXSNOWFLAKE-…815 | ||
| ≥ $820 | 2026-12-24 | 80.0% | — | $1.5K | C | KXSNOWFLAKE-…820 | ||
| ≥ $825 | 2026-12-24 | 69.0% | — | $304 | C | KXSNOWFLAKE-…825 | ||
| ≥ $830 | 2026-12-24 | 54.0% | — | $732 | C | KXSNOWFLAKE-…830 | ||
| ≥ $835 | 2026-12-24 | 45.0% | — | $937 | C | KXSNOWFLAKE-…835 | ||
| ≥ $840 | 2026-12-24 | 23.0% | — | $47 | C | KXSNOWFLAKE-…840 | ||
| ≥ $845 | 2026-12-24 | 7.0% | — | $16 | C | KXSNOWFLAKE-…845 | ||
| ≥ $850 | 2026-12-24 | 13.0% | — | $0 | C | KXSNOWFLAKE-…850 | ||
| ≥ $855 | 2026-12-24 | 6.0% | — | $0 | C | KXSNOWFLAKE-…855 | ||
| ≥ $860 | 2026-12-24 | 4.0% | — | $2 | C | KXSNOWFLAKE-…860 | ||
| ≥ $865 | 2026-12-24 | 3.0% | — | $1 | C | KXSNOWFLAKE-…865 | ||
| ≥ $870 | 2026-12-24 | 3.0% | — | $4 | C | KXSNOWFLAKE-…870 | ||
| ≥ $875 | 2026-12-24 | 2.0% | — | $1 | C | KXSNOWFLAKE-…875 | ||
| ≥ $880 | 2026-12-24 | 2.0% | — | $1 | C | KXSNOWFLAKE-…880 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Fiscal.ai | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Snowflake Inc. reports Above 805 customers with trailing 12-month revenue $1m in Q2 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fiscal.ai" sources (1) · single authority
- Fiscal.ai source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsnowflake-26augcust1m/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsnowflake-26augcust1m |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxsnowflake-26augcust1m") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-2WRHLJ1GX4",
"slug": "kxsnowflake-26augcust1m",
"question": "Will Snowflake have customers with trailing 12-month revenue greater than $1 million in Q2 2027?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"snowflake",
"saas-metrics",
"enterprise-customers",
"q2-2027",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 16,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 5383,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 72,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Fiscal.ai",
"url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}