Spotify monthly active users, Q2 2026 [ resolves 2026-08-27 (85D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 765,000,000 | 2026-08-27 | 99.0% | — | $407 | A | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| ≥ 770,000,000 | 2026-08-27 | 97.0% | $74 | $952 | A | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| ≥ 775,000,000 | 2026-08-27 | 96.0% | — | $2.5K | A | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| ≥ 776,000,000 | 2026-08-27 | 93.0% | $41 | $41 | A | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| ≥ 777,000,000 | 2026-08-27 | 82.0% | — | $51 | A | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| ≥ 778,000,000 | 2026-08-27 | 75.0% | — | $303 | A | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| ≥ 779,000,000 | 2026-08-27 | 60.0% | — | $312 | A | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| ≥ 780,000,000 | 2026-08-27 | 49.0% | $10 | $1.6K | A | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| ≥ 781,000,000 | 2026-08-27 | 38.0% | — | $66 | A | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| ≥ 782,000,000 | 2026-08-27 | 19.0% | — | $96 | A | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| ≥ 785,000,000 | 2026-08-27 | 7.0% | — | $160 | A | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| ≥ 790,000,000 | 2026-08-27 | 3.0% | — | $33 | A | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Fiscal.ai | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fiscal.ai" No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxspot-26julmau/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxspot-26julmau.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxspot-26julmau") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-NBQ78YB8B4",
"slug": "kxspot-26julmau",
"question": "Spotify monthly active users, Q2 2026",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"spotify",
"monthly-active-users",
"q2-2026",
"user-growth",
"streaming-metrics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 12,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6494,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}