Spotify monthly active users, Q2 2026 [ resolved 2026-08-04 ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 12 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 765 | 2026-08-04 | 100.0% | — | $1.0K | C | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| > 770 | 2026-08-04 | 100.0% | — | $1.4K | C | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| > 775 | 2026-08-04 | 100.0% | — | $2.4K | C | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| > 776 | 2026-08-04 | 100.0% | — | $160 | C | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| > 777 | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | $153 | C | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| > 778 | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | $287 | C | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| > 779 | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | $3 | $746 | C | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| > 780 | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | $2.1K | C | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| > 781 | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | $122 | C | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| > 782 | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | $73 | C | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| > 785 | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | $139 | C | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 | ||
| > 790 | 2026-08-04 | 0.0% | — | $38 | C | KXSPOT-26JUL…000 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Fiscal.ai | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Spotify Technology S.A. reports above 765000000 monthly active users in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fiscal.ai" sources (1) · single authority
Fiscal.ai committed source
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 765 million monthly active users in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-04 | 100% |
| YES | Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 770 million monthly active users in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-04 | 100% |
| YES | Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 775 million monthly active users in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-04 | 100% |
| YES | Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 776 million monthly active users in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-04 | 100% |
| NO | Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 777 million monthly active users in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-04 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 778 million monthly active users in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-04 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 779 million monthly active users in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-04 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 780 million monthly active users in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-04 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 781 million monthly active users in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-04 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 782 million monthly active users in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-04 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 785 million monthly active users in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-04 | 0% |
| NO | Will Spotify Technology S.A. report above 790 million monthly active users in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-08-04 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (12 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxspot-26julmau/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxspot-26julmau |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxspot-26julmau") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-NBQ78YB8B4",
"slug": "kxspot-26julmau",
"question": "Spotify monthly active users, Q2 2026",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"spotify",
"monthly-active-users",
"q2-2026",
"user-growth",
"streaming-metrics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 12,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 8699,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 72,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Fiscal.ai",
"url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}