U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve level, week ending July 2026 [ resolves 2026-08-12 (8D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 10 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 298 | 2026-08-12 | 99.0% | — | $3.4K | A | KXSPRLVL-26A…298 | ||
| > 300 | 2026-08-12 | 99.0% | $1 | $1.5K | A | KXSPRLVL-26A…300 | ||
| > 302 | 2026-08-12 | 99.0% | $3 | $2.4K | A | KXSPRLVL-26A…302 | ||
| > 304 | 2026-08-12 | 99.0% | $3 | $3.6K | A | KXSPRLVL-26A…304 | ||
| > 306 | 2026-08-12 | 3.0% | $1 | $19 | A | KXSPRLVL-26A…306 | ||
| > 308 | 2026-08-12 | 3.0% | — | $3 | A | KXSPRLVL-26A…308 | ||
| > 310 | 2026-08-12 | 2.0% | $0 | $37 | A | KXSPRLVL-26A…310 | ||
| > 312 | 2026-08-12 | 5.0% | — | $209 | A | KXSPRLVL-26A…312 | ||
| > 314 | 2026-08-12 | 1.0% | — | $3 | A | KXSPRLVL-26A…314 | ||
| > 316 | 2026-08-12 | 2.0% | $4 | $23 | A | KXSPRLVL-26A…316 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending July 31, 2026 is above 298 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves based on the Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the relevant week, released on Wednesday morning following the stated week-ending date, using the value on Table 1 of the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet, row “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)”, under the Current Week column.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation" ↗ sources (4) · single authority
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation venue-listed
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index venue-listed
- Weekly Petroleum Status Report source of record from rules text · editorial
- U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsprlvl-26aug05/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsprlvl-26aug05 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxsprlvl-26aug05") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-83VJ07SCD7",
"slug": "kxsprlvl-26aug05",
"question": "U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve level, week ending July 2026",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"us-energy-policy",
"strategic-petroleum-reserve",
"crude-oil-inventory",
"2026",
"economic-indicator"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 10,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 11347,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Weekly Petroleum Status Report",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Weekly Petroleum Status Report",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}