CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,450 EVENTS / ~20,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

What will be the price of the Steam Machine? [ resolves 2027-01-08 (186D) ]

kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 9 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ $400 2027-01-08 98.0%
$9.3K
C KXSTEAMPRICE…400
≥ $500 2027-01-08 98.0%
$1.9K
C KXSTEAMPRICE…500
≥ $600 2027-01-08 99.0%
$8 $11K
C KXSTEAMPRICE…600
≥ $700 2027-01-08 97.0%
$16 $24K
C KXSTEAMPRICE…700
≥ $800 2027-01-08 89.0%
$153 $28K
C KXSTEAMPRICE…800
≥ $900 2027-01-08 73.0%
$76 $39K
C KXSTEAMPRICE…900
≥ $1,000 2027-01-08 61.0%
$21 $20K
C KXSTEAMPRICE…000
≥ $1,100 2027-01-08 21.0%
$194 $2.7K
C KXSTEAMPRICE…100
≥ $1,200 2027-01-08 19.0%
$8 $1.0K
C KXSTEAMPRICE…200
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff ABC not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 9 markets · share this text
If the first price announced for new Steam Machine by Valve Corporation is at least $400, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "ABC"
sources (21) · single authority
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsteamprice-27/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsteamprice-27
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxsteamprice-27")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CN8Q66YP36",
  "slug": "kxsteamprice-27",
  "question": "What will be the price of the Steam Machine?",
  "category": "companies",
  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "steam-machine",
    "hardware-pricing",
    "valve",
    "gaming-console",
    "2027"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 9,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 135810,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 77,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "ABC",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Valve Corporation",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "ABC",
      "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "company",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Information",
      "url": "https://www.theinformation.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "MSNBC",
      "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "in hierarchical order",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "company websites",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CBS",
      "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the Associated Press",
      "url": "https://apnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Washington Post",
      "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "company executive leadership",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Axios",
      "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNN",
      "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
      "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Fox News",
      "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The New York Times",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "NBC",
      "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Semafor",
      "url": "https://semafor.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Politico",
      "url": "https://www.politico.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bloomberg News",
      "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Reuters",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Valve Corporation",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →