CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the House vote to ban members of Congress from trading stocks? (multi-deadline series, 2026-2027) [ resolves 2026-07 – 2027-01 ]

Will legislation that prohibits members of Congress from purchasing stocks, even if it allows for purchasing stocks via a blind trust or the purchase of “diversified assets” (such as ETFs or mutual funds) passed the House before Jan 1, 2027?

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 2 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Jul 1, 2026 2026-07-01 4.0%
$697
A KXSTOCKBANHO…L01
Jan 1, 2027 2027-01-01 96.0%
$3.6K $19K
A KXSTOCKBANHO…N01
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff White House not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 2 markets · share this text
If a Congressional stock trading ban has passed the House after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A Congressional stock trading ban can still allow members of Congress to place their stocks in a blind trust or to invest in "diversified assets" (e.g. ETFs) and still resolve to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "White House"
sources (2) · single authority
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
NO Will legislation that prohibits members of Congress from purchasing stocks, even if it allows for purchasing stocks via a blind trust or the purchase of “diversified assets” (such as ETFs or mutual funds) passed the House before Jul 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-01 4%
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxstockbanhouse/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxstockbanhouse
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxstockbanhouse")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QY611HF007",
  "slug": "kxstockbanhouse",
  "question": "Will the House vote to ban members of Congress from trading stocks? (multi-deadline series, 2026-2027)",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "congress-stock-trading",
    "legislative-ban",
    "ethics-reform",
    "house-vote",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 2,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 20099,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "White House",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "White House",
      "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Library of Congress",
      "url": "https://congress.gov",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →