Will someone successfully take over Warner Brothers? [ resolves 2027-07-01 (360D) ]
kalshi: [B] multiple sources, tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Financial Times | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If qualifying public announcements indicate Netflix's takeover of Warner Brothers has succeeded Before July 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
A takeover "succeeds" when BOTH of the following are publicly announced: (a) Corporate Approval—shareholders approved the acquisition OR the acquirer acquired controlling interest (>50% of voting shares); AND (b) Conditions Satisfaction—all material conditions including regulatory approvals have been satisfied or waived. Press releases, SEC filings (8-K, Schedule TO amendments), and official company announcements qualify. Letters of intent, agreements in principle, or conditional announcements do not satisfy the criteria. If one acquirer's takeover succeeds, all other acquirer markets immediately resolve to No. Resolution is based on the announcements, not the ultimate transaction outcome—if both criteria are announced but the deal later fails, the market still resolves to Yes. The "None" option resolves to Yes only if no takeover succeeds by the deadline.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Financial Times" sources (13) · single authority
- Financial Times venue-listed
- The Associated Press venue-listed
- the New York Times venue-listed
- target company's official government filings source of record venue-listed
- target company's official investor relations website or press releases venue-listed
- acquirer's official investor relations website or press releases venue-listed
- acquirer's official government filings venue-listed
- ABC News venue-listed
- CNBC venue-listed
- BBC venue-listed
- Press releases from rules text · editorial
- SEC filings (8-K, Schedule TO amendments) from rules text · editorial
- official company announcements from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtakeoveracqwb-27jun30/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtakeoveracqwb-27jun30 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxtakeoveracqwb-27jun30") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-27PSS0BZX6",
"slug": "kxtakeoveracqwb-27jun30",
"question": "Will someone successfully take over Warner Brothers?",
"category": "companies",
"tags": [
"companies",
"corporate-acquisition",
"warner-brothers",
"entertainment-industry",
"mergers-and-acquisitions",
"2027"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 3,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 1367710,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 74,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Financial Times",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.ft.com",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "target company's official government filings",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Financial Times",
"url": "https://www.ft.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "target company's official government filings",
"url": "https://kalshi.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "target company's official investor relations website or press releases",
"url": "https://kalshi.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "acquirer's official investor relations website or press releases",
"url": "https://kalshi.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "acquirer's official government filings",
"url": "https://kalshi.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ABC News",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNBC",
"url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "BBC",
"url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Press releases",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "SEC filings (8-K, Schedule TO amendments)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "official company announcements",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}