Will the Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme price exceed $5.00 in July 2026? [ resolves 2026-08-09 (17D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $6.65 | 2026-08-09 | 85.0% | $73 | $7.1K | A | KXTBCRUNCHWR….65 | ||
| ≥ $6.66 | 2026-08-09 | 78.0% | $127 | $2.3K | A | KXTBCRUNCHWR….66 | ||
| ≥ $6.67 | 2026-08-09 | 67.0% | $49 | $3.5K | A | KXTBCRUNCHWR….67 | ||
| ≥ $6.68 | 2026-08-09 | 61.0% | $52 | $3.0K | A | KXTBCRUNCHWR….68 | ||
| ≥ $6.69 | 2026-08-09 | 42.0% | $69 | $3.3K | A | KXTBCRUNCHWR….69 | ||
| ≥ $6.7 | 2026-08-09 | 26.0% | — | $638 | A | KXTBCRUNCHWR….70 | ||
| ≥ $6.71 | 2026-08-09 | 16.0% | — | $82 | A | KXTBCRUNCHWR….71 | ||
| ≥ $6.72 | 2026-08-09 | 6.0% | $17 | $463 | A | KXTBCRUNCHWR….72 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the average U.S. price of a Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme for July 2026 is at least $6.65, then the market resolves to Yes.
For purposes of this market, the “average U.S. price of a Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme” means the first July 2026 value reported by Spice Data for “Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme Price” / “Price (USD)”. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
This market and these products have not been endorsed by Taco Bell Corp. or its affiliates. Any references to Taco Bell, Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Taco Bell Corp. or its affiliates and Kalshi.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation" ↗ sources (3) · single authority
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation venue-listed
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index venue-listed
- Spice Data source of record from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtbcrunchwrap-26aug02/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtbcrunchwrap-26aug02 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxtbcrunchwrap-26aug02") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-B5VHQ4N103",
"slug": "kxtbcrunchwrap-26aug02",
"question": "Will the Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme price exceed $5.00 in July 2026?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"fast-food-pricing",
"taco-bell",
"us-inflation",
"commodity-prices",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 20280,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Spice Data",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Spice Data",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}