Will there be a top coding AI determined this week? [ resolved 2026-07-27 ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot

kalshi 9 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Top Coding AI this week	2026-07-27	100.0%	$1.0K	$4.1K	A	`KXTECHRANKLI…IMI`
Top Coding AI this week	2026-07-27	0.0%	$839	$1.5K	A	`KXTECHRANKLI…LAU`
Top Coding AI this week	2026-07-27	0.0%	$1	$4	A	`KXTECHRANKLI…WEN`
Top Coding AI this week	2026-07-27	0.0%	$1	$20	A	`KXTECHRANKLI…HAT`
Top Coding AI this week	2026-07-27	0.0%	$1	$4	A	`KXTECHRANKLI…ROK`
Top Coding AI this week	2026-07-27	0.0%	$1	$16	A	`KXTECHRANKLI…OLA`
Top Coding AI this week	2026-07-27	0.0%	$1	$1	A	`KXTECHRANKLI…GLM`
Top Coding AI this week	2026-07-27	0.0%	$1	$1	A	`KXTECHRANKLI…EMI`
Top Coding AI this week	2026-07-27	0.0%	$1	$4	A	`KXTECHRANKLI…INI`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	ABC	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 9 markets · share this text

If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jul 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "ABC"

sources (18) · single authority

ABC venue-listed
Axios venue-listed
Bloomberg News venue-listed
CBS venue-listed
CNN venue-listed
Fox News venue-listed
MSNBC venue-listed
NBC venue-listed
organization that publishes list venue-listed
Politico venue-listed
Reuters venue-listed
Semafor venue-listed
the Associated Press venue-listed
The Information venue-listed
The New York Times venue-listed
The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
The Washington Post venue-listed
LM Code Arena Leaderboard source of record from rules text · editorial

resolution history

outcome	market	venue	resolved	final price
NO	Top Coding AI this week?	kalshi	`2026-07-27`	`0%`
NO	Top Coding AI this week?	kalshi	`2026-07-27`	`0%`
NO	Top Coding AI this week?	kalshi	`2026-07-27`	`0%`
NO	Top Coding AI this week?	kalshi	`2026-07-27`	`0%`
NO	Top Coding AI this week?	kalshi	`2026-07-27`	`0%`
NO	Top Coding AI this week?	kalshi	`2026-07-27`	`0%`
YES	Top Coding AI this week?	kalshi	`2026-07-27`	`100%`
NO	Top Coding AI this week?	kalshi	`2026-07-27`	`0%`
NO	Top Coding AI this week?	kalshi	`2026-07-27`	`0%`

Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (9 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtechranklistaicode-26jul27/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtechranklistaicode-26jul27`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxtechranklistaicode-26jul27")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-L9B4PWQDR6",
  "slug": "kxtechranklistaicode-26jul27",
  "question": "Will there be a top coding AI determined this week?",
  "category": "technology",
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "ai-coding",
    "weekly-competition",
    "technology-2026",
    "llm-performance",
    "software-development"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 9,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 5662,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 88,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "ABC",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "LM Code Arena Leaderboard",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "ABC",
      "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Axios",
      "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bloomberg News",
      "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CBS",
      "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNN",
      "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Fox News",
      "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "MSNBC",
      "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "NBC",
      "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "organization that publishes list",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Politico",
      "url": "https://www.politico.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Reuters",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Semafor",
      "url": "https://semafor.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the Associated Press",
      "url": "https://apnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Information",
      "url": "https://www.theinformation.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The New York Times",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
      "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Washington Post",
      "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "LM Code Arena Leaderboard",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →