Who will win the next Gambian presidential election? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (211D) ]

Who will win the next Gambian presidential election?

kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by resolution date

kalshi 4 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Adama Barrow · Who will win the next Gambian presidential election?	2026-12-31	71.0%	—	$4.5K	C	`KXTHEGAMBIAP…BAR`
Ousainou Darboe · Who will win the next Gambian presidential election?	2026-12-31	16.0%	—	$1.2K	C	`KXTHEGAMBIAP…DAR`
Essa Faal · Who will win the next Gambian presidential election?	2026-12-31	2.4%	—	$0	C	`KXTHEGAMBIAP…FAA`
Mama Kandeh · Who will win the next Gambian presidential election?	2026-12-31	2.4%	—	$0	C	`KXTHEGAMBIAP…KAN`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	uncommitted	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 4 markets · share this text

If the winner of the next Gambian presidential election expected to be held in 2026 at the latest is Adama Barrow, then the market resolves to Yes. For presidential elections, the relevant question is whether the person wins the election, regardless of their partisan affiliation. For legislative elections, the relevant question is whether the party or alliance wins more seats than any other party or alliance.

platform source field kalshi.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxthegambiapres-26/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxthegambiapres-26.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxthegambiapres-26")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QWL4XW2R90",
  "slug": "kxthegambiapres-26",
  "question": "Who will win the next Gambian presidential election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "gambian-politics",
    "presidential-election",
    "2027",
    "west-africa",
    "political-outcome"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 4,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 5719,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 72,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →