Talen Energy total generation, Q2 2026 [ resolves 2026-12-05 (123D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 16 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 8.5 | 2026-12-05 | 99.0% | — | $1.5K | C | KXTLN-26AUGGEN-8.5 | ||
| > 9 | 2026-12-05 | 96.0% | — | $4.5K | C | KXTLN-26AUGGEN-9.0 | ||
| > 9.5 | 2026-12-05 | 99.0% | $99 | $7.6K | C | KXTLN-26AUGGEN-9.5 | ||
| > 10 | 2026-12-05 | 98.0% | — | $2.8K | C | KXTLN-26AUGG…0.0 | ||
| > 10.5 | 2026-12-05 | 99.0% | — | $3.3K | C | KXTLN-26AUGG…0.5 | ||
| > 11 | 2026-12-05 | 98.0% | $511 | $3.1K | C | KXTLN-26AUGG…1.0 | ||
| > 11.5 | 2026-12-05 | 98.0% | $341 | $5.8K | C | KXTLN-26AUGG…1.5 | ||
| > 12 | 2026-12-05 | 95.0% | — | $1.8K | C | KXTLN-26AUGG…2.0 | ||
| > 12.5 | 2026-12-05 | 95.0% | — | $14K | C | KXTLN-26AUGG…2.5 | ||
| > 13 | 2026-12-05 | 95.0% | — | $1.1K | C | KXTLN-26AUGGEN-13 | ||
| > 13.5 | 2026-12-05 | 90.0% | $243 | $2.7K | C | KXTLN-26AUGG…3.5 | ||
| > 14 | 2026-12-05 | 51.0% | $48 | $165 | C | KXTLN-26AUGGEN-14 | ||
| > 14.5 | 2026-12-05 | 20.0% | $48 | $326 | C | KXTLN-26AUGG…4.5 | ||
| > 15 | 2026-12-05 | 3.0% | — | $94 | C | KXTLN-26AUGGEN-15 | ||
| > 15.5 | 2026-12-05 | 2.0% | — | $38 | C | KXTLN-26AUGG…5.5 | ||
| > 16 | 2026-12-05 | 1.0% | — | $33 | C | KXTLN-26AUGGEN-16 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Fiscal.ai | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Talen Energy Corporation reports Above 8.5 total generation (twh) in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fiscal.ai" sources (1) · single authority
Fiscal.ai committed source
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtln-26auggen/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtln-26auggen |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxtln-26auggen") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-3621XR0XM0",
"slug": "kxtln-26auggen",
"question": "Talen Energy total generation, Q2 2026",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"talen-energy",
"electricity-generation",
"q2-2026",
"twh-output",
"energy-financials"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 16,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 48914,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 88,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Fiscal.ai",
"url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}