CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,450 EVENTS / ~20,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Who will be the three wealthiest people in the world by 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-02 (180D) ]

kalshi: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 9 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Elon Musk 2027-01-02 99.0%
$2.6K
C KXTOP3WEALTH…LON
Larry Page 2027-01-02 94.0%
$9.7K
C KXTOP3WEALTH…RRP
Sergey Brin 2027-01-02 41.0%
$1 $348
C KXTOP3WEALTH…ERG
Larry Ellison 2027-01-02 38.0%
$1.3K
C KXTOP3WEALTH…ARR
Jeff Bezos 2027-01-02 30.0%
$1.0K
C KXTOP3WEALTH…EFF
Jensen Huang 2027-01-02 16.0%
$658
C KXTOP3WEALTH…ENS
Mark Zuckerberg 2027-01-02 13.0%
$553
C KXTOP3WEALTH…ARK
Warren Buffett 2027-01-02 5.0%
$56
C KXTOP3WEALTH…ARR
Steve Ballmer 2027-01-02 4.0%
$0
C KXTOP3WEALTH…TEV
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Forbes link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 9 markets · share this text
If Elon Musk is one of the three wealthiest people in the world on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Forbes"
sources (1) · single authority
  • Forbes source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtop3wealth-26dec31/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtop3wealth-26dec31
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxtop3wealth-26dec31")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTGDGPT350",
  "slug": "kxtop3wealth-26dec31",
  "question": "Who will be the three wealthiest people in the world by 2027?",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "wealth-ranking",
    "billionaire-lists",
    "net-worth-comparison",
    "global-economics",
    "2027"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 9,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 16311,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 57,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "commitment_committed_secondhand"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "Forbes",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Forbes",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Forbes",
      "url": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →