Will a new top AI model be released this week? [ resolves 2026-06-06 (3D) ]
What will be the top AI model this month?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| What will be the top AI model this month | 2026-06-06 | 89.0% | $2.1K | $12K | A | KXTOPMODEL-2…AUT | ||
| What will be the top AI model this month | 2026-06-06 | 4.0% | $57 | $192 | A | KXTOPMODEL-2…LAU | ||
| What will be the top AI model this month | 2026-06-06 | 1.0% | — | $2 | A | KXTOPMODEL-2…EMI | ||
| What will be the top AI model this month | 2026-06-06 | 1.0% | $1 | $45 | A | KXTOPMODEL-2…UT7 | ||
| What will be the top AI model this month | 2026-06-06 | 1.0% | — | $2 | A | KXTOPMODEL-2…AU7 | ||
| What will be the top AI model this month | 2026-06-06 | 1.0% | — | $2 | A | KXTOPMODEL-2…MI3 | ||
| What will be the top AI model this month | 2026-06-06 | 1.0% | — | $2 | A | KXTOPMODEL-2…USE | ||
| What will be the top AI model this month | 2026-06-06 | 1.0% | — | $3 | A | KXTOPMODEL-2…GPT | ||
| What will be the top AI model this month | 2026-06-06 | 1.0% | — | $2 | A | KXTOPMODEL-2…NIE | ||
| What will be the top AI model this month | 2026-06-06 | 1.0% | — | $2 | A | KXTOPMODEL-2…WEN |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control) | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)" ↗ No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtopmodel-26jun06/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtopmodel-26jun06.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxtopmodel-26jun06") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-SRLZST7GW2",
"slug": "kxtopmodel-26jun06",
"question": "Will a new top AI model be released this week?",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"ai-models",
"weekly-resolution",
"technology",
"model-ranking",
"artificial-intelligence",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 10,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 12043,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 97,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
"resolution_source_url": "https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}