Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index, June 12, 2026 [ resolved 2026-06-12 ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 15 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 73.9 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | $1.5K | $1.5K | C | KXTRUFCCI-26…3.9 | ||
| > 74.4 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | $575 | $575 | C | KXTRUFCCI-26…4.4 | ||
| > 74.9 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | $1.9K | $1.9K | C | KXTRUFCCI-26…4.9 | ||
| > 75.4 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | $1.2K | $1.2K | C | KXTRUFCCI-26…5.4 | ||
| > 75.9 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | — | — | C | KXTRUFCCI-26…5.9 | ||
| > 76.4 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | — | — | C | KXTRUFCCI-26…6.4 | ||
| > 76.9 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | — | — | C | KXTRUFCCI-26…6.9 | ||
| > 77.4 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | — | — | C | KXTRUFCCI-26…7.4 | ||
| > 77.9 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | — | — | C | KXTRUFCCI-26…7.9 | ||
| > 78.4 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | — | — | C | KXTRUFCCI-26…8.4 | ||
| > 78.9 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | — | — | C | KXTRUFCCI-26…8.9 | ||
| > 79.4 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | — | — | C | KXTRUFCCI-26…9.4 | ||
| > 79.9 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | — | — | C | KXTRUFCCI-26…9.9 | ||
| > 80.4 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | — | — | C | KXTRUFCCI-26…0.4 | ||
| > 80.9 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | $0 | $0 | C | KXTRUFCCI-26…0.9 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index on Jun 12, 2026 is above 73.9, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index" ↗ sources (1)
Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index committed source
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will the Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 73.9? | kalshi | 2026-06-13 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 74.4? | kalshi | 2026-06-13 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 74.9? | kalshi | 2026-06-13 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 75.4? | kalshi | 2026-06-13 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 75.9? | kalshi | 2026-06-13 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 76.4? | kalshi | 2026-06-13 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 76.9? | kalshi | 2026-06-13 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 77.4? | kalshi | 2026-06-13 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 77.9? | kalshi | 2026-06-13 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 78.4? | kalshi | 2026-06-13 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 78.9? | kalshi | 2026-06-13 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 79.4? | kalshi | 2026-06-13 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 79.9? | kalshi | 2026-06-13 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 80.4? | kalshi | 2026-06-13 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index on Jun 12, 2026 be above 80.9? | kalshi | 2026-06-13 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (15 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrufcci-26jun12/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrufcci-26jun12 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxtrufcci-26jun12") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-90Q3W6T9X9",
"slug": "kxtrufcci-26jun12",
"question": "Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index, June 12, 2026",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"us-economy",
"consumer-confidence",
"economic-indicators",
"2026",
"truflation-index"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 15,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 5214,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index",
"resolution_source_url": "https://truflation.com/marketplace/truflation-cci-index",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index",
"url": "https://truflation.com/marketplace/truflation-cci-index",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}