Will Trump do anything during the week of July 19-25? [ resolves 2026-10-24 (93D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 10 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 1 presidential actions in the week of Jul 19, 2026 | 2026-10-24 | 99.0% | — | $17K | A | KXTRUMPACT-2…-T1 | ||
| Will there be at least 2 presidential actions in the week of Jul 19, 2026 | 2026-10-24 | 99.0% | — | $3.3K | A | KXTRUMPACT-2…-T2 | ||
| Will there be at least 3 presidential actions in the week of Jul 19, 2026 | 2026-10-24 | 99.0% | — | $3.1K | A | KXTRUMPACT-2…-T3 | ||
| Will there be at least 4 presidential actions in the week of Jul 19, 2026 | 2026-10-24 | 99.0% | — | $6.5K | A | KXTRUMPACT-2…-T4 | ||
| Will there be at least 5 presidential actions in the week of Jul 19, 2026 | 2026-10-24 | 99.0% | — | $5.7K | A | KXTRUMPACT-2…-T5 | ||
| Will there be at least 7 presidential actions in the week of Jul 19, 2026 | 2026-10-24 | 99.0% | — | $5.3K | A | KXTRUMPACT-2…-T7 | ||
| Will there be at least 8 presidential actions in the week of Jul 19, 2026 | 2026-10-24 | 99.0% | — | $14K | A | KXTRUMPACT-2…-T8 | ||
| Will there be at least 9 presidential actions in the week of Jul 19, 2026 | 2026-10-24 | 99.0% | $567 | $15K | A | KXTRUMPACT-2…-T9 | ||
| 10 | 2026-10-24 | 53.0% | $658 | $7.6K | A | KXTRUMPACT-2…T10 | ||
| 15 | 2026-10-24 | 5.0% | $23 | $373 | A | KXTRUMPACT-2…T15 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | the White House | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Donald Trump has taken at least 1 presidential actions from Jul 19, 2026 through Jul 25, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 26, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.
The market solely resolves to the publication dates visibly displayed on the "Presidential Actions" tab at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 26, 2026. The week runs from Jul 19, 2026 through Jul 25, 2026. The actions may include proclamations, executive orders, nominations & appointments, and memoranda. Any item listed on the page counts, regardless of its legal effect.
Examples (for Jan 10, 2026):
Executive Order with a Jan 7 signing date is released with a Jan 10 publication date → resolves Yes
Proclamation e-mailed to White House Press Pool but not uploaded by 10:00 AM next day → resolves No
Proclamation is released Jan 10 with a backdated Jan 9 publication date → resolves No
Bill signed into law and shows up on "Briefings & Statements" instead of "Presidential Actions" → resolves No
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "the White House" ↗ sources (2) · single authority
- the White House source of record venue-listed
- the "Presidential Actions" tab at whitehouse.gov from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumpact-26jul19/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrumpact-26jul19 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxtrumpact-26jul19") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-42SPR0Z7T6",
"slug": "kxtrumpact-26jul19",
"question": "Will Trump do anything during the week of July 19-25?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-politics",
"trump",
"presidential-action",
"weekly-event",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 10,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 78486,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "the White House",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "the White House",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "the White House",
"url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the \"Presidential Actions\" tab at whitehouse.gov",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}