Will Trump endorse more than X people on Truth Social between May 31 and June 6? [ resolves 2026-06-07 (4D) ]
kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by strike
kalshi 7 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 3 | 2026-06-07 | 99.0% | — | $5.6K | B | KXTRUMPENDOR…-A3 | ||
| ≥ 5 | 2026-06-07 | 99.0% | — | $3.0K | B | KXTRUMPENDOR…-A5 | ||
| ≥ 10 | 2026-06-07 | 99.0% | — | $4.2K | B | KXTRUMPENDOR…A10 | ||
| ≥ 15 | 2026-06-07 | 99.0% | — | $3.0K | B | KXTRUMPENDOR…A15 | ||
| ≥ 20 | 2026-06-07 | 99.0% | $482 | $2.6K | B | KXTRUMPENDOR…A20 | ||
| ≥ 25 | 2026-06-07 | 99.0% | $4.0K | $8.8K | B | KXTRUMPENDOR…A25 | ||
| ≥ 50 | 2026-06-07 | 17.0% | $83 | $584 | B | KXTRUMPENDOR…A50 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Truth Social | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Donald Trump endorses at least 3 people for their election on Truth Social from May 31, 2026 through Jun 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Any formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week.
Examples:
Donald Trump states "I endorse [candidate] for [office]"
Donald Trump states "I support [candidate]" referencing a political race
Donald Trump states "Vote for [candidate]" publicly
Donald Trump states "[candidate] has my full support" for [race]
Examples that would NOT count:
Trump posts a graphic that says "[Candidate] wins" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Truth Social" recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumpendorsements-26jun06/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrumpendorsements-26jun06.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxtrumpendorsements-26jun06") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-J5GWT29HD5",
"slug": "kxtrumpendorsements-26jun06",
"question": "Will Trump endorse more than X people on Truth Social between May 31 and June 6?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"trump-endorsements",
"truth-social",
"2026-politics",
"weekly-prediction",
"social-media-activity"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 27845,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 58,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Truth Social",
"resolution_source_url": "https://truthsocial.com",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}