Donald Trump and Mohammed bin Salman meet before Sep 1, 2026? [ resolves 2026-09-08 (35D) ]
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 24 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 2026-09-08 | 93.0% | $200 | $924 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…NET | ||
| Mohammed bin Salman | 2026-09-08 | 93.0% | $592 | $8.4K | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…MBS | ||
| Mark Carney | 2026-09-08 | 79.0% | $128 | $1.1K | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…CAR | ||
| John Thune | 2026-09-08 | 76.0% | $8 | $388 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…THU | ||
| Andy Burnham | 2026-09-08 | 72.0% | $121 | $800 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…BUR | ||
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 2026-09-08 | 69.0% | $296 | $695 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…ZEL | ||
| Jensen Huang | 2026-09-08 | 69.0% | — | $581 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…HUA | ||
| Vladimir Putin | 2026-09-08 | 60.0% | $23 | $332 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…PUT | ||
| Narendra Modi | 2026-09-08 | 56.0% | $2 | $59 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…MOD | ||
| Sanae Takaichi | 2026-09-08 | 43.0% | $62 | $847 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…TAK | ||
| Recep Tayyip Erdoğan | 2026-09-08 | 37.0% | $2 | $2 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…ERD | ||
| Xi Jinping | 2026-09-08 | 33.0% | $51 | $153 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…JIN | ||
| Delcy Rodriguez | 2026-09-08 | 29.0% | — | $34 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…ROD | ||
| Chuck Schumer | 2026-09-08 | 22.0% | $22 | $136 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…SCH | ||
| Spencer Pratt | 2026-09-08 | 22.0% | $103 | $291 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…PRA | ||
| Ron DeSantis | 2026-09-08 | 21.0% | — | $25 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…DES | ||
| Gavin Newsom | 2026-09-08 | 18.0% | $4 | $120 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…NEW | ||
| Zohran Mamdani | 2026-09-08 | 16.0% | $23 | $38 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…MAM | ||
| Hakeem Jeffries | 2026-09-08 | 14.0% | $2 | $58 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…JEF | ||
| Reza Pahlavi | 2026-09-08 | 11.0% | — | $75 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…PAH | ||
| Lai Ching-te | 2026-09-08 | 8.0% | — | $34 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…CHI | ||
| María Corina Machado | 2026-09-08 | 8.0% | $4 | $4 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…MCM | ||
| Jerome Powell | 2026-09-08 | 4.0% | $1 | $17 | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…POW | ||
| Dana White | 2026-09-08 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXTRUMPMEET-…WHI |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | The Washington Post | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Donald Trump and Andy Burnham meet (including phone calls) before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
A meeting is defined as any of the following:
An in-person encounter where both parties are physically present in the same location
A virtual meeting via video conference where both parties can see and hear each other in real-time
A phone call where both parties speak directly to each other
Any combination of the above where the parties interact directly in real-time
The following qualify as meetings (though this list is not exhaustive):
Formal bilateral meetings, summits, or conferences
Informal encounters at multilateral events if documented by Source Agencies
Working dinners, lunches, or other meal meetings
Pull-aside meetings or corridor conversations if documented
Home visits or meetings at non-official locations
The following do NOT qualify as meetings:
Being present at the same event without direct interaction
Exchanging written correspondence
Communication through intermediaries without direct contact
Pre-recorded messages or asynchronous communication
Meetings cancelled after being scheduled
Near-misses where parties were scheduled to meet but did not
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "The Washington Post" sources (21) · single authority
- The Washington Post venue-listed
- official social media accounts verified by the platform source of record venue-listed
- official press release distribution services venue-listed
- Fox News venue-listed
- MSNBC venue-listed
- The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
- Semafor venue-listed
- The Information venue-listed
- ABC venue-listed
- the Associated Press venue-listed
- NBC venue-listed
- photographic or video evidence from accredited media organizations venue-listed
- Axios venue-listed
- official government websites venue-listed
- The New York Times venue-listed
- Politico venue-listed
- CNN venue-listed
- official readouts from relevant governments or organizations venue-listed
- Reuters venue-listed
- CBS venue-listed
- Bloomberg News venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PENDING | Donald Trump and Mohammed bin Salman meet before Sep 1, 2026? | kalshi | by 2026-09-08 | 93% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumpmeet-26aug/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrumpmeet-26aug |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxtrumpmeet-26aug") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-4WYVLJ0YX7",
"slug": "kxtrumpmeet-26aug",
"question": "Donald Trump and Mohammed bin Salman meet before Sep 1, 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"donald-trump",
"august-2026",
"political-meetings",
"us-politics",
"interpersonal-contact"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 24,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 15124,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 56,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": "The Washington Post",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "official social media accounts verified by the platform",
"resolution_source_list": [
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{
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{
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{
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},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
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},
{
"name": "Semafor",
"url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Information",
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"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ABC",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
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},
{
"name": "NBC",
"url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "photographic or video evidence from accredited media organizations",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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},
{
"name": "Axios",
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{
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{
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{
"name": "Politico",
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},
{
"name": "CNN",
"url": "https://www.cnn.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "official readouts from relevant governments or organizations",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg News",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}