CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet before Aug 1, 2026? [ resolves 2026-08-01 (9D) ]

kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 22 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Volodymyr Zelenskyy 2026-08-01 99.0%
$3.1K
C KXTRUMPMEET-…ZEL
Benjamin Netanyahu 2026-08-01 99.0%
$3.9K
C KXTRUMPMEET-…NET
Vladimir Putin 2026-08-01 99.0%
$5.3K
C KXTRUMPMEET-…PUT
Mark Carney 2026-08-01 99.0%
$3.8K
C KXTRUMPMEET-…CAR
John Thune 2026-08-01 99.0%
$5.1K
C KXTRUMPMEET-…THU
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan 2026-08-01 99.0%
$3.1K
C KXTRUMPMEET-…ERD
Mohammed bin Salman 2026-08-01 97.0%
$4.4K
C KXTRUMPMEET-…MBS
Keir Starmer 2026-08-01 94.0%
$3.7K
C KXTRUMPMEET-…STA
Ron DeSantis 2026-08-01 31.0%
$276 $2.7K
C KXTRUMPMEET-…DES
Narendra Modi 2026-08-01 20.0%
$45 $383
C KXTRUMPMEET-…MOD
Jensen Huang 2026-08-01 14.0%
$39 $226
C KXTRUMPMEET-…HUA
Chuck Schumer 2026-08-01 14.0%
$31
C KXTRUMPMEET-…SCH
Sanae Takaichi 2026-08-01 12.0%
$13 $274
C KXTRUMPMEET-…TAK
Xi Jinping 2026-08-01 10.0%
$207
C KXTRUMPMEET-…JIN
Delcy Rodriguez 2026-08-01 10.0%
$20 $145
C KXTRUMPMEET-…ROD
Zohran Mamdani 2026-08-01 9.0%
$13 $275
C KXTRUMPMEET-…MAM
Reza Pahlavi 2026-08-01 8.0%
$17 $170
C KXTRUMPMEET-…PAH
Gavin Newsom 2026-08-01 4.0%
$21
C KXTRUMPMEET-…NEW
María Corina Machado 2026-08-01 4.0%
$28 $102
C KXTRUMPMEET-…MCM
Hakeem Jeffries 2026-08-01 3.0%
$26
C KXTRUMPMEET-…JEF
Lai Ching-te 2026-08-01 2.0%
$25
C KXTRUMPMEET-…CHI
Jerome Powell 2026-08-01 2.0%
$14
C KXTRUMPMEET-…POW
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff The Washington Post not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 22 markets · share this text
If Donald Trump and Keir Starmer meet (including phone calls) before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A meeting is defined as any of the following: An in-person encounter where both parties are physically present in the same location A virtual meeting via video conference where both parties can see and hear each other in real-time A phone call where both parties speak directly to each other Any combination of the above where the parties interact directly in real-time The following qualify as meetings (though this list is not exhaustive): Formal bilateral meetings, summits, or conferences Informal encounters at multilateral events if documented by Source Agencies Working dinners, lunches, or other meal meetings Pull-aside meetings or corridor conversations if documented Home visits or meetings at non-official locations The following do NOT qualify as meetings: Being present at the same event without direct interaction Exchanging written correspondence Communication through intermediaries without direct contact Pre-recorded messages or asynchronous communication Meetings cancelled after being scheduled Near-misses where parties were scheduled to meet but did not
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "The Washington Post"
sources (21) · single authority
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
YES Donald Trump and Mohammed bin Salman meet before Aug 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-13 97%
PENDING Donald Trump and Keir Starmer meet before Aug 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-08 94%
YES Donald Trump and Mark Carney meet before Aug 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-08 99%
YES Donald Trump and John Thune meet before Aug 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-08 99%
YES Donald Trump and Recep Tayyip Erdoğan meet before Aug 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-07 99%
YES Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet before Aug 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-05 99%
YES Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet before Aug 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-04 99%
YES Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu meet before Aug 1, 2026? kalshi 2026-07-04 99%
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (8 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumpmeet-26jul/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrumpmeet-26jul
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxtrumpmeet-26jul")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-H798GFXQD8",
  "slug": "kxtrumpmeet-26jul",
  "question": "Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet before Aug 1, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-communications",
    "political-interactions",
    "july-2026",
    "us-politics",
    "diplomatic-engagement"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 22,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 36996,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 56,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "The Washington Post",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "official government websites",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "The Washington Post",
      "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "official social media accounts verified by the platform",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "official press release distribution services",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Fox News",
      "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "MSNBC",
      "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
      "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Semafor",
      "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Information",
      "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "ABC",
      "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the Associated Press",
      "url": "https://apnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "NBC",
      "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "photographic or video evidence from accredited media organizations",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Axios",
      "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "official government websites",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The New York Times",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Politico",
      "url": "https://www.politico.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNN",
      "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "official readouts from relevant governments or organizations",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Reuters",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CBS",
      "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bloomberg News",
      "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →