Will Donald Trump meet in person Xi Jinping before Jan 1, 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (179D) ]

kalshi: [B] multiple sources, tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›

distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot

kalshi 22 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Joe Rogan	2027-01-01	99.9%	—	$31K	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…ROG`
Xi Jinping	2027-01-01	99.8%	—	$66K	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…JIN`
Kevin Warsh	2027-01-01	99.0%	—	$1.2K	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…WAR`
Mark Carney	2027-01-01	96.8%	$317	$2.9K	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…CAR`
Sam Altman	2027-01-01	90.0%	—	$4.8K	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…ALT`
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan	2027-01-01	88.0%	—	$592	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…ERD`
Ahmed al-Sharaa	2027-01-01	81.0%	$55	$9.2K	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…ALS`
Mohammed bin Salman	2027-01-01	78.0%	—	$5.8K	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…MBS`
Mark Zuckerberg	2027-01-01	75.0%	—	$3.8K	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…ZUC`
Claudia Sheinbaum	2027-01-01	66.0%	—	$8.3K	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…SHE`
Vladimir Putin	2027-01-01	44.0%	—	$5.9K	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…PUT`
Peter Thiel	2027-01-01	40.0%	—	$2.1K	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…THI`
Pope Leo XIV	2027-01-01	25.0%	$10	$7.0K	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…XIV`
Gavin Newsom	2027-01-01	20.0%	—	$1.1K	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…NEW`
Reza Pahlavi	2027-01-01	19.0%	$32	$2.4K	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…PAH`
Bill Clinton	2027-01-01	19.0%	—	$72	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…CLI`
Jerome Powell	2027-01-01	18.0%	—	$1.9K	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…POW`
Kim Jong Un	2027-01-01	17.0%	$1	$2.5K	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…KJU`
Marjorie Taylor Greene	2027-01-01	14.0%	$3	$388	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…MTG`
Tim Walz	2027-01-01	13.0%	—	$102	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…WAL`
Nicolás Maduro	2027-01-01	9.5%	$23	$4.6K	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…MAD`
Lai Ching-te	2027-01-01	7.0%	—	$65	B	`KXTRUMPMEETI…CHI`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	The Washington Post	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 22 markets · share this text

If Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in person after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A qualifying meeting must satisfy the following: both persons must be present (physically or virtually, as specified) and engage in communication or interaction—mere presence in the same location without interaction does not constitute a meeting unless otherwise specified. The meeting must be confirmed by at least one Source Agency through official statement, press release, credible media report, or other documented evidence. The meeting must occur at any point during the time period; for meetings that span across the boundary of the time period, any portion of the meeting occurring within the time period is sufficient. Coincidental encounters without purposeful engagement (e.g., passing in a hallway without acknowledgment) do not count. Communication via intermediaries, written letters, or social media do not count unless specified.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "The Washington Post"

sources (17) · single authority

The Washington Post venue-listed
The White House source of record venue-listed
Associated Press venue-listed
BBC venue-listed
ABC News venue-listed
New York Times venue-listed
CNBC venue-listed
POLITICO venue-listed
NBC venue-listed
Financial Times venue-listed
Bloomberg venue-listed
CNN venue-listed
The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
Fox News venue-listed
Reuters venue-listed
MSNBC venue-listed
CBS News venue-listed

resolution history

outcome	market	venue	resolved	final price
YES	Will Donald Trump meet in person Xi Jinping before Jan 1, 2027?	kalshi	`2027-01-01`	`100%`
YES	Will Donald Trump meet in person Joe Rogan before Jan 1, 2027?	kalshi	`2027-01-01`	`100%`
YES	Will Donald Trump meet in person Kevin Warsh before Jan 1, 2027?	kalshi	`2027-01-01`	`99%`

Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (3 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumpmeeting-27jan01/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrumpmeeting-27jan01`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxtrumpmeeting-27jan01")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WY1J5J92Q7",
  "slug": "kxtrumpmeeting-27jan01",
  "question": "Will Donald Trump meet in person Xi Jinping before Jan 1, 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-meetings",
    "political-figures",
    "2027-resolution",
    "international-diplomacy",
    "person-specific"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 22,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 162252,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 74,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "The Washington Post",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "The White House",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "The Washington Post",
      "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The White House",
      "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Associated Press",
      "url": "https://apnews.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "BBC",
      "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "ABC News",
      "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "New York Times",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNBC",
      "url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "POLITICO",
      "url": "https://www.politico.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "NBC",
      "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Financial Times",
      "url": "https://www.ft.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bloomberg",
      "url": "https://bloomberg.org",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNN",
      "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
      "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Fox News",
      "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Reuters",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "MSNBC",
      "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CBS News",
      "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →