Will Donald Trump meet in person Claudia Sheinbaum before Jan 1, 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (150D) ]
kalshi: [B] multiple sources, tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 25 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Rogan | 2027-01-01 | 99.9% | — | $31K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…ROG | ||
| Claudia Sheinbaum | 2027-01-01 | 99.8% | — | $19K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…SHE | ||
| Xi Jinping | 2027-01-01 | 99.8% | — | $66K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…JIN | ||
| Ahmed al-Sharaa | 2027-01-01 | 99.7% | — | $17K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…ALS | ||
| Mark Carney | 2027-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $4.3K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…CAR | ||
| Recep Tayyip Erdoğan | 2027-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $1.8K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…ERD | ||
| Kevin Warsh | 2027-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $1.2K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…WAR | ||
| Mark Zuckerberg | 2027-01-01 | 98.1% | — | $13K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…ZUC | ||
| Sam Altman | 2027-01-01 | 97.1% | — | $9.5K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…ALT | ||
| Lionel Messi | 2027-01-01 | 95.0% | — | $4.6K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…MES | ||
| Andy Burnham | 2027-01-01 | 85.0% | — | $23 | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…BUR | ||
| Abelardo de la Espriella | 2027-01-01 | 69.0% | $248 | $334 | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…ESP | ||
| Mohammed bin Salman | 2027-01-01 | 68.0% | — | $5.8K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…MBS | ||
| Peter Thiel | 2027-01-01 | 41.0% | — | $2.6K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…THI | ||
| Vladimir Putin | 2027-01-01 | 26.0% | — | $5.7K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…PUT | ||
| Pope Leo XIV | 2027-01-01 | 20.0% | — | $6.1K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…XIV | ||
| Reza Pahlavi | 2027-01-01 | 16.0% | — | $2.3K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…PAH | ||
| Jerome Powell | 2027-01-01 | 14.0% | — | $1.5K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…POW | ||
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 2027-01-01 | 13.0% | — | $375 | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…MTG | ||
| Gavin Newsom | 2027-01-01 | 13.0% | — | $772 | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…NEW | ||
| Kim Jong Un | 2027-01-01 | 11.0% | — | $1.8K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…KJU | ||
| Nicolás Maduro | 2027-01-01 | 11.0% | — | $5.4K | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…MAD | ||
| Bill Clinton | 2027-01-01 | 8.1% | — | $58 | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…CLI | ||
| Tim Walz | 2027-01-01 | 6.7% | — | $70 | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…WAL | ||
| Lai Ching-te | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | — | $60 | B | KXTRUMPMEETI…CHI |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | The Washington Post | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in person after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
A qualifying meeting must satisfy the following: both persons must be present (physically or virtually, as specified by <meet>) and engage in communication or interaction—mere presence in the same location without interaction does not constitute a meeting unless otherwise specified. The meeting must be confirmed by at least one Source Agency through official statement, press release, credible media report, or other documented evidence. The meeting must occur at any point during the time period; for meetings that span across the boundary of the time period, any portion of the meeting occurring within the time period is sufficient. Coincidental encounters without purposeful engagement (e.g., passing in a hallway without acknowledgment) do not count. Communication via intermediaries, written letters, or social media do not count unless specified.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "The Washington Post" sources (17) · single authority
The Washington Post venue-listed The White House committed source Associated Press venue-listed BBC venue-listed ABC News venue-listed New York Times venue-listed CNBC venue-listed POLITICO venue-listed NBC venue-listed Financial Times venue-listed Bloomberg venue-listed CNN venue-listed The Wall Street Journal venue-listed Fox News venue-listed Reuters venue-listed MSNBC venue-listed CBS News venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Donald Trump meet in person Lionel Messi before Jan 1, 2027? | kalshi | 2026-07-19 | 95% |
| YES | Will Donald Trump meet in person Claudia Sheinbaum before Jan 1, 2027? | kalshi | 2026-07-19 | 100% |
| YES | Will Donald Trump meet in person Ahmed al-Sharaa before Jan 1, 2027? | kalshi | 2026-07-08 | 100% |
| YES | Will Donald Trump meet in person Recep Tayyip Erdoğan before Jan 1, 2027? | kalshi | 2026-07-07 | 99% |
| YES | Will Donald Trump meet in person Sam Altman before Jan 1, 2027? | kalshi | 2026-06-17 | 97% |
| YES | Will Donald Trump meet in person Mark Carney before Jan 1, 2027? | kalshi | 2026-06-16 | 99% |
| YES | Will Donald Trump meet in person Mark Zuckerberg before Jan 1, 2027? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 98% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (7 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumpmeeting-27jan01/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrumpmeeting-27jan01 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxtrumpmeeting-27jan01") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-WY1J5J92Q7",
"slug": "kxtrumpmeeting-27jan01",
"question": "Will Donald Trump meet in person Claudia Sheinbaum before Jan 1, 2027?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"trump-meetings",
"political-figures",
"2027-resolution",
"international-diplomacy",
"person-specific"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 25,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 201224,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 74,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "The Washington Post",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "The White House",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "The Washington Post",
"url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The White House",
"url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "BBC",
"url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ABC News",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNBC",
"url": "https://www.cnbc.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "POLITICO",
"url": "https://www.politico.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "NBC",
"url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Financial Times",
"url": "https://www.ft.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg",
"url": "https://bloomberg.org",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNN",
"url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MSNBC",
"url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS News",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}