Will Trump visit more than X states in August 2026? [ resolves 2026-11-30 (118D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 6 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA… | 2026-11-30 | 99.0% | $1 | $4.8K | C | KXTRUMPNUMST…AL2 | ||
| Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA… | 2026-11-30 | 95.0% | — | $1.1K | C | KXTRUMPNUMST…AL4 | ||
| Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA… | 2026-11-30 | 83.0% | $353 | $354 | C | KXTRUMPNUMST…AL6 | ||
| Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA… | 2026-11-30 | 64.0% | $444 | $445 | C | KXTRUMPNUMST…AL8 | ||
| 10 | 2026-11-30 | 60.0% | — | $1 | C | KXTRUMPNUMST…L10 | ||
| 12 | 2026-11-30 | 9.0% | — | $29 | C | KXTRUMPNUMST…L12 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | the Statistical Review of World Energy | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) is at least 2 in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
VISITAREA contract: https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contract_terms/VISITAREA.pdf
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "the Statistical Review of World Energy" sources (1)
- the Statistical Review of World Energy venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumpnumstates-26sep01/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrumpnumstates-26sep01 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxtrumpnumstates-26sep01") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-SZXPBYMSS9",
"slug": "kxtrumpnumstates-26sep01",
"question": "Will Trump visit more than X states in August 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"trump-travel",
"us-politics",
"2026",
"campaign-schedule",
"state-visits"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 6,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6779,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 44,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "the Statistical Review of World Energy",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "the Statistical Review of World Energy",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}