Will Trump be photographed on at least 5 days during the week of July 20-26? [ resolved 2026-07-27 ]
kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 4 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump… | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $103 | $1.3K | B | KXTRUMPPHOTO…6-4 | ||
| Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump… | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $857 | $3.4K | B | KXTRUMPPHOTO…6-5 | ||
| Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump… | 2026-07-27 | 100.0% | $323 | $2.7K | B | KXTRUMPPHOTO…6-6 | ||
| Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump… | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $170 | $271 | B | KXTRUMPPHOTO…6-7 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Getty Images | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the number of distinct days Donald Trump is photographed in a tagged editorial photo on Getty Images between Jul 20, 2026 and Jul 26, 2026 is exactly 4, then the market resolves to Yes.
If a tagged photo does not actually depict Donald Trump, or is materially mis-tagged (for example, with the wrong date), Kalshi reserves the right to disregard that photo when resolving the market. Conversely, if a photo is correctly tagged as depicting Donald Trump but its metadata date does not reflect the actual date the photo was taken (in local time), Kalshi reserves the right to include that photo based on the actual date.
Example of a date with no qualifying photos: April 4, 2026
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Getty Images" ↗ sources (1) · single authority
- Getty Images source of record venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 4 between Jul 20, 2026 and Jul 26, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 5 between Jul 20, 2026 and Jul 26, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| YES | Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 6 between Jul 20, 2026 and Jul 26, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-27 | 100% |
| NO | Will the number of distinct days with a Getty Images editorial photo of Trump be exactly 7 between Jul 20, 2026 and Jul 26, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (4 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumpphoto-26jul26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrumpphoto-26jul26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxtrumpphoto-26jul26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-PFHXSX10N0",
"slug": "kxtrumpphoto-26jul26",
"question": "Will Trump be photographed on at least 5 days during the week of July 20-26?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"trump-photography",
"daily-count",
"getty-images-editorial",
"2026",
"news-media"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 4,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 7667,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 66,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Getty Images",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.gettyimages.com/search/2/image?family=editorial&sort=newest&specificpeople=118600",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Getty Images",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Getty Images",
"url": "https://www.gettyimages.com/search/2/image?family=editorial&sort=newest&specificpeople=118600",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}