Trump rallies count, January 1 to February 1, 2027 [ resolves 2027-02-01 (210D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 6 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 15 | 2027-02-01 | 77.0% | — | $2.2K | C | KXTRUMPRALLI…A15 | ||
| > 20 | 2027-02-01 | 70.0% | — | $1.2K | C | KXTRUMPRALLI…A20 | ||
| > 25 | 2027-02-01 | 59.0% | — | $867 | C | KXTRUMPRALLI…A25 | ||
| > 30 | 2027-02-01 | 58.0% | — | $294 | C | KXTRUMPRALLI…A30 | ||
| > 35 | 2027-02-01 | 38.0% | — | $216 | C | KXTRUMPRALLI…A35 | ||
| > 40 | 2027-02-01 | 27.0% | — | $891 | C | KXTRUMPRALLI…A40 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | the Statistical Review of World Energy | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the number of Trump rallies is above 15 from January 1 to November 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
A Trump rally is a public, in-person political event organized around a rally-style address by Donald J. Trump, typically preceded by guest speakers, held at a large venue, and open to attendees via free registration. Examples in 2026 include the rallies on 1/27 (Clive, IA), 2/19 (Rome, GA), 2/27 (Corpus Christi, TX), 3/11 (Hebron, KY), 4/17 (Phoenix, AZ), 5/1 (The Villages, FL), and 5/22 (Suffern, NY).
As of 5/27/26, the count is 7.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "the Statistical Review of World Energy" sources (1)
- the Statistical Review of World Energy venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumprallies-26nov03/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrumprallies-26nov03 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxtrumprallies-26nov03") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-8CL5HBK172",
"slug": "kxtrumprallies-26nov03",
"question": "Trump rallies count, January 1 to February 1, 2027",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-midterms",
"trump-rallies",
"political-events",
"2026",
"quantitative-metric"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 6,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 5663,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 36,
"rcg_caps": [
"adversarial_ground_truth",
"commitment_none"
],
"resolution_source": "the Statistical Review of World Energy",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "no_source_stated",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "the Statistical Review of World Energy",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}