Will Donald Trump attend UFC 329? [ resolved 2026-07-12 ]

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 329?

kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›

markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot

kalshi 1 market

market	resolves	P(YES)		vol (24h)	vol (cum)		RCG	venue id
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 329	2026-07-12	0.0%		$2.7K	$50K		C	`KXTRUMPUFC-2…DJT`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	USA Today	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 1 market · share this text

If Donald Trump attends UFC 329, then the market resolves to Yes. Attendance is confirmed if the person is reported present at the event by any Source Agency, including social media posts by the person themselves. Brief appearances or partial attendance count as attendance.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "USA Today"

sources (17)

USA Today venue-listed
ABC venue-listed
Fox News venue-listed
MSNBC venue-listed
The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
Semafor venue-listed
The Information venue-listed
CBS venue-listed
Vogue venue-listed
Axios venue-listed
CNN venue-listed
Reuters venue-listed
Billboard venue-listed
The New York Times venue-listed
The Washington Post venue-listed
the Associated Press venue-listed
Politico venue-listed

resolution history

outcome	market	venue	resolved	final price
NO	Will Donald Trump attend UFC 329?	kalshi	`2026-07-12`	`0%`

Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (1 resolved market). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.

recent wire items

2026-07-12T09:48:30+00:00 volume-spike
Traders discount Trump's UFC 329 appearance as near-zero risk 1% · $87K 24h
- Kalshi prices Trump UFC 329 attendance at 1%, market assigns near-certainty he will not attend.
- $87K in 24h is 67% of all-time volume, suggesting concentrated resolution-window activity.
- Proximity to the event date is driving settlement flows rather than new directional conviction.
- Contract resolves on UFC 329 date; volume pattern consistent with late-stage arbitrage compression.
2026-07-11T09:24:55+00:00 volume-spike
UFC 329 Trump attendance sits deep in tail-risk territory 3% · $78K 24h
- Kalshi prices Trump attendance at 3%, consistent with a low-probability discretionary travel event.
- $78K traded in 24h represents 60% of all-time contract volume, significant acceleration of interest.
- UFC appearances have been a recurring Trump public engagement venue; fresh scheduling news or event confirmation likely driving attention.
- Contract resolves on confirmed attendance at UFC 329; date and venue details are the near-term catalyst.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumpufc-26jul/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtrumpufc-26jul`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxtrumpufc-26jul")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YFTQM3YVN6",
  "slug": "kxtrumpufc-26jul",
  "question": "Will Donald Trump attend UFC 329?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-attendance",
    "ufc-events",
    "political-figures",
    "celebrity-appearances",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 1,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 50453,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 58,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "USA Today",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.usatoday.com/",
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "USA Today",
      "url": "https://www.usatoday.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "ABC",
      "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Fox News",
      "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "MSNBC",
      "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
      "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Semafor",
      "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Information",
      "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CBS",
      "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Vogue",
      "url": "https://www.vogue.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Axios",
      "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNN",
      "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Reuters",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Billboard",
      "url": "https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The New York Times",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Washington Post",
      "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the Associated Press",
      "url": "https://apnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Politico",
      "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →