Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027? [ resolves 2028-01-03 (579D) ]

Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027?

kalshi: [A] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›

distribution · by resolution date

kalshi 4 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Republican for…	2028-01-03	63.0%	$792	$66K	A	`KXTXSENOUTCO…TAL`
Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan…	2028-01-03	41.0%	$195	$17K	A	`KXTXSENOUTCO…PAX`
Will GOP Nominee be John Cornyn AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan…	2028-01-03	0.1%	—	$21	A	`KXTXSENOUTCO…COR`
Will GOP Nominee be John Cornyn AND General Election Winner be Republican for…	2028-01-03	0.1%	—	$25	A	`KXTXSENOUTCO…TAL`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	Bureau of Labor Statistics	link	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 4 markets · share this text

If ALL of the following occur before Jan 2027: GOP Nominee: John Cornyn, General Election Winner: Democrat, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: GOP Nominee (SENATEPARTYNOM), General Election Winner (SENATEPARTY). All conditions must be satisfied before Jan 2027.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics" ↗

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtxsenoutcome-27jan/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxtxsenoutcome-27jan.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxtxsenoutcome-27jan")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-KDQ9VR7CG1",
  "slug": "kxtxsenoutcome-27jan",
  "question": "Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "texas-senate",
    "2026-election",
    "exact-outcome",
    "us-politics",
    "senate-race"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 4,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 82753,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 81,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →