Will Uber complete more trips in Q2 than in Q1? [ resolves 2026-08-01 (26D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 12 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 3.4 | 2026-08-01 | 98.0% | — | $4.6K | A | KXUBERTRIPS-…ION | ||
| > 3.5 | 2026-08-01 | 95.0% | — | $7.7K | A | KXUBERTRIPS-…ION | ||
| > 3.6 | 2026-08-01 | 95.0% | — | $9.1K | A | KXUBERTRIPS-…ION | ||
| > 3.7 | 2026-08-01 | 99.0% | — | $8.9K | A | KXUBERTRIPS-…ION | ||
| > 3.75 | 2026-08-01 | 94.0% | — | $11K | A | KXUBERTRIPS-…ION | ||
| > 3.8 | 2026-08-01 | 98.0% | $23 | $12K | A | KXUBERTRIPS-…ION | ||
| > 3.85 | 2026-08-01 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXUBERTRIPS-…ION | ||
| > 3.9 | 2026-08-01 | 78.0% | — | $166 | A | KXUBERTRIPS-…ION | ||
| > 3.95 | 2026-08-01 | 64.0% | — | $272 | A | KXUBERTRIPS-…ION | ||
| > 4.0 | 2026-08-01 | 22.0% | — | $107 | A | KXUBERTRIPS-…ION | ||
| > 4.05 | 2026-08-01 | 9.0% | — | $63 | A | KXUBERTRIPS-…ION | ||
| > 4.1 | 2026-08-01 | 5.0% | — | $36 | A | KXUBERTRIPS-…ION |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | company | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Uber Technologies, Inc. reports above 3.4 billion Trips in Q2, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "company" sources (15) · single authority
- company venue-listed
- Fox Business venue-listed
- MarketWatch venue-listed
- federal government financial regulatory authorities venue-listed
- The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
- Bloomberg News venue-listed
- official investor relations website of company source of record venue-listed
- Yahoo Finance venue-listed
- Seeking Alpha venue-listed
- Barron's venue-listed
- the Associated Press venue-listed
- CNBC venue-listed
- Reuters venue-listed
- Financial Times venue-listed
- The New York Times venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxubertrips-q2/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxubertrips-q2 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxubertrips-q2") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-PTJCD4DK31",
"slug": "kxubertrips-q2",
"question": "Will Uber complete more trips in Q2 than in Q1?",
"category": "companies",
"tags": [
"companies",
"uber",
"ridesharing",
"q2-metrics",
"earnings-report",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 12,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 54242,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "company",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "official investor relations website of company",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "company",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Fox Business",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MarketWatch",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "federal government financial regulatory authorities",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg News",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "official investor relations website of company",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Yahoo Finance",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Seeking Alpha",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Barron's",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNBC",
"url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Financial Times",
"url": "https://www.ft.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}