China unemployment rate in July 2026 [ resolves 2026-08-24 (32D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 11 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 4.6% | 2026-08-24 | 99.0% | — | $4.7K | C | KXUE-CHN26JUL-4.6 | ||
| ≥ 4.7% | 2026-08-24 | 99.0% | — | $2.8K | C | KXUE-CHN26JUL-4.7 | ||
| ≥ 4.8% | 2026-08-24 | 98.0% | — | $3.4K | C | KXUE-CHN26JUL-4.8 | ||
| ≥ 4.9% | 2026-08-24 | 98.0% | — | $858 | C | KXUE-CHN26JUL-4.9 | ||
| ≥ 5% | 2026-08-24 | 77.0% | $3 | $234 | C | KXUE-CHN26JUL-5.0 | ||
| ≥ 5.1% | 2026-08-24 | 63.0% | $8 | $341 | C | KXUE-CHN26JUL-5.1 | ||
| ≥ 5.2% | 2026-08-24 | 49.0% | $12 | $1.1K | C | KXUE-CHN26JUL-5.2 | ||
| ≥ 5.3% | 2026-08-24 | 6.0% | — | $119 | C | KXUE-CHN26JUL-5.3 | ||
| ≥ 5.4% | 2026-08-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXUE-CHN26JUL-5.4 | ||
| ≥ 5.5% | 2026-08-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXUE-CHN26JUL-5.5 | ||
| ≥ 5.6% | 2026-08-24 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXUE-CHN26JUL-5.6 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Trading Economics | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the China unemployment rate is above 4.6% for July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Trading Economics" sources (1) · single authority
- Trading Economics source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxue-chn26jul/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxue-chn26jul |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxue-chn26jul") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-C18YMDMKD8",
"slug": "kxue-chn26jul",
"question": "China unemployment rate in July 2026",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"china-economics",
"unemployment-rate",
"labor-statistics",
"2026",
"monthly-data"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 13650,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 72,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "Trading Economics",
"resolution_source_url": "https://tradingeconomics.com",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Trading Economics",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Trading Economics",
"url": "https://tradingeconomics.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}