Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026 [ resolves 2026-07-31 (8D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 19 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 1000 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | — | $2.7K | A | KXUSFLYCAN-2…000 | ||
| > 1500 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | — | $1.7K | A | KXUSFLYCAN-2…500 | ||
| > 2000 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | — | $7.1K | A | KXUSFLYCAN-2…000 | ||
| > 2500 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | — | $6.7K | A | KXUSFLYCAN-2…500 | ||
| > 3000 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | — | $8.7K | A | KXUSFLYCAN-2…000 | ||
| > 3500 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | — | $4.0K | A | KXUSFLYCAN-2…500 | ||
| > 4000 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | — | $5.5K | A | KXUSFLYCAN-2…000 | ||
| > 4500 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | — | $5.6K | A | KXUSFLYCAN-2…500 | ||
| > 5000 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | — | $5.0K | A | KXUSFLYCAN-2…000 | ||
| > 5500 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | $10 | $3.3K | A | KXUSFLYCAN-2…500 | ||
| > 6000 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | — | $5.0K | A | KXUSFLYCAN-2…000 | ||
| > 6500 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | — | $383 | A | KXUSFLYCAN-2…500 | ||
| > 7000 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | $204 | $603 | A | KXUSFLYCAN-2…000 | ||
| > 7500 | 2026-07-31 | 98.0% | — | $204 | A | KXUSFLYCAN-2…500 | ||
| > 8000 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | $101 | $378 | A | KXUSFLYCAN-2…000 | ||
| > 8500 | 2026-07-31 | 72.0% | $256 | $325 | A | KXUSFLYCAN-2…500 | ||
| > 9000 | 2026-07-31 | 9.0% | $4 | $13 | A | KXUSFLYCAN-2…000 | ||
| > 9500 | 2026-07-31 | 10.0% | $1 | $22 | A | KXUSFLYCAN-2…500 | ||
| > 10000 | 2026-07-31 | 7.0% | $21 | $37 | A | KXUSFLYCAN-2…000 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 24, 2026 is above 1000, then the market resolves to Yes.
For this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on Jul 24, 2026.
This market and these products have not been endorsed by FlightAware LLC or its affiliates. Any references to FlightAware, FlightAware.com, FlightAware’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FlightAware LLC or its affiliates and Kalshi.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation" ↗ sources (3) · single authority
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation venue-listed
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index venue-listed
- FlightAware source of record from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxusflycan-26jul24/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxusflycan-26jul24 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxusflycan-26jul24") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-LJ833F67T9",
"slug": "kxusflycan-26jul24",
"question": "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 24, 2026",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"us-aviation",
"flight-operations",
"weekly-metric",
"transportation-economics",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 19,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 57252,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 91,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "FlightAware",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "FlightAware",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}