CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will US gasoline CPI increase for July? [ resolves 2026-08-19 (27D) ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 27 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
> 300 2026-08-19 96.0%
$266
A KXUSGASCPI-2…300
> 310 2026-08-19 96.0%
$5.1K
A KXUSGASCPI-2…310
> 320 2026-08-19 99.0%
$5.3K
A KXUSGASCPI-2…320
> 330 2026-08-19 99.0%
$5.2K $10K
A KXUSGASCPI-2…330
> 331 2026-08-19 91.0%
$86 $349
A KXUSGASCPI-2…331
> 332 2026-08-19 50.0%
$246 $514
A KXUSGASCPI-2…332
> 333 2026-08-19 37.0%
$387 $552
A KXUSGASCPI-2…333
> 334 2026-08-19 17.0%
$172 $307
A KXUSGASCPI-2…334
> 335 2026-08-19 14.0%
$147 $240
A KXUSGASCPI-2…335
> 336 2026-08-19 8.0%
$58 $119
A KXUSGASCPI-2…336
> 337 2026-08-19 3.0%
$53 $79
A KXUSGASCPI-2…337
> 338 2026-08-19 2.0%
$36 $64
A KXUSGASCPI-2…338
> 339 2026-08-19 1.0%
$85 $95
A KXUSGASCPI-2…339
> 340 2026-08-19 1.0%
$39 $75
A KXUSGASCPI-2…340
> 350 2026-08-19 1.0%
$14 $40
A KXUSGASCPI-2…350
> 360 2026-08-19 1.0%
$12
A KXUSGASCPI-2…360
> 365 2026-08-19 7.0%
$108
A KXUSGASCPI-2…365
> 370 2026-08-19 2.0%
$41
A KXUSGASCPI-2…370
> 375 2026-08-19 1.0%
$9
A KXUSGASCPI-2…375
> 380 2026-08-19 2.0%
$26
A KXUSGASCPI-2…380
> 385 2026-08-19 1.0%
$4
A KXUSGASCPI-2…385
> 390 2026-08-19 1.0%
$5
A KXUSGASCPI-2…390
> 395 2026-08-19 1.0%
$2
A KXUSGASCPI-2…395
> 400 2026-08-19 1.0%
$6
A KXUSGASCPI-2…400
> 405 2026-08-19 1.0%
$13
A KXUSGASCPI-2…405
> 410 2026-08-19 1.0%
$2
A KXUSGASCPI-2…410
> 415 2026-08-19 1.0%
$26
A KXUSGASCPI-2…415
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 27 markets · share this text
If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 300ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation"
sources (3) · single authority
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxusgascpi-26aug12/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxusgascpi-26aug12
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxusgascpi-26aug12")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HX8HHV9X71",
  "slug": "kxusgascpi-26aug12",
  "question": "Will US gasoline CPI increase for July?",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "us-gasoline-prices",
    "inflation-measurement",
    "cpi-data",
    "energy-commodities",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 27,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 23671,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 100,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "FRED series CUSR0000SETB01",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
      "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
      "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →