Will US gasoline CPI increase for July? [ resolves 2026-08-19 (27D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 27 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 300 | 2026-08-19 | 96.0% | — | $266 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…300 | ||
| > 310 | 2026-08-19 | 96.0% | — | $5.1K | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…310 | ||
| > 320 | 2026-08-19 | 99.0% | — | $5.3K | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…320 | ||
| > 330 | 2026-08-19 | 99.0% | $5.2K | $10K | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…330 | ||
| > 331 | 2026-08-19 | 91.0% | $86 | $349 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…331 | ||
| > 332 | 2026-08-19 | 50.0% | $246 | $514 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…332 | ||
| > 333 | 2026-08-19 | 37.0% | $387 | $552 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…333 | ||
| > 334 | 2026-08-19 | 17.0% | $172 | $307 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…334 | ||
| > 335 | 2026-08-19 | 14.0% | $147 | $240 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…335 | ||
| > 336 | 2026-08-19 | 8.0% | $58 | $119 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…336 | ||
| > 337 | 2026-08-19 | 3.0% | $53 | $79 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…337 | ||
| > 338 | 2026-08-19 | 2.0% | $36 | $64 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…338 | ||
| > 339 | 2026-08-19 | 1.0% | $85 | $95 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…339 | ||
| > 340 | 2026-08-19 | 1.0% | $39 | $75 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…340 | ||
| > 350 | 2026-08-19 | 1.0% | $14 | $40 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…350 | ||
| > 360 | 2026-08-19 | 1.0% | — | $12 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…360 | ||
| > 365 | 2026-08-19 | 7.0% | — | $108 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…365 | ||
| > 370 | 2026-08-19 | 2.0% | — | $41 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…370 | ||
| > 375 | 2026-08-19 | 1.0% | — | $9 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…375 | ||
| > 380 | 2026-08-19 | 2.0% | — | $26 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…380 | ||
| > 385 | 2026-08-19 | 1.0% | — | $4 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…385 | ||
| > 390 | 2026-08-19 | 1.0% | — | $5 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…390 | ||
| > 395 | 2026-08-19 | 1.0% | — | $2 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…395 | ||
| > 400 | 2026-08-19 | 1.0% | — | $6 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…400 | ||
| > 405 | 2026-08-19 | 1.0% | — | $13 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…405 | ||
| > 410 | 2026-08-19 | 1.0% | — | $2 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…410 | ||
| > 415 | 2026-08-19 | 1.0% | — | $26 | A | KXUSGASCPI-2…415 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 300ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation" ↗ sources (3) · single authority
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation venue-listed
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index venue-listed
- FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxusgascpi-26aug12/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxusgascpi-26aug12 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxusgascpi-26aug12") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-HX8HHV9X71",
"slug": "kxusgascpi-26aug12",
"question": "Will US gasoline CPI increase for July?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"us-gasoline-prices",
"inflation-measurement",
"cpi-data",
"energy-commodities",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 27,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 23671,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "FRED series CUSR0000SETB01",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}