Who will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (179D) ]
kalshi: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 9 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Wiseman · Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 40.0% | — | $158 | A | KXUSMDLFRDM-…WIS | ||
| Dana White · Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 37.0% | — | $4.3K | A | KXUSMDLFRDM-…WHI | ||
| Lee Greenwood · Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 35.0% | $2 | $1.2K | A | KXUSMDLFRDM-…GRE | ||
| Sean Hannity · Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 22.0% | — | $576 | A | KXUSMDLFRDM-…HAN | ||
| Sylvester Stallone · Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 20.0% | — | $51 | A | KXUSMDLFRDM-…STA | ||
| Bill Belichick · Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 15.0% | — | $8 | A | KXUSMDLFRDM-…BEL | ||
| Kid Rock · Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 14.0% | — | $262 | A | KXUSMDLFRDM-…ROC | ||
| Elon Musk · Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 13.0% | — | $156 | A | KXUSMDLFRDM-…MUS | ||
| Dan Scavino · Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 10.0% | — | $8 | A | KXUSMDLFRDM-…SCA |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | ABC | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Sean Hannity is awarded the Presidential Medal of Freedom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "ABC" sources (20) · single authority
- ABC venue-listed
- Axios venue-listed
- Bloomberg News venue-listed
- CBS venue-listed
- CNN venue-listed
- Fox News venue-listed
- in hierarchical order venue-listed
- MSNBC venue-listed
- NBC venue-listed
- person venue-listed
- Politico venue-listed
- Reuters venue-listed
- Semafor venue-listed
- the Associated Press venue-listed
- The Information venue-listed
- The New York Times venue-listed
- the President of the United States source of record venue-listed
- The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
- The Washington Post venue-listed
- The White House venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxusmdlfrdm-27/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxusmdlfrdm-27 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxusmdlfrdm-27") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-9FPZFWDRJ4",
"slug": "kxusmdlfrdm-27",
"question": "Who will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-politics",
"presidential-honors",
"medal-of-freedom",
"2026-awards",
"individual-recipient"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6659,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 91,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "ABC",
"resolution_source_url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "the President of the United States",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "ABC",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Axios",
"url": "https://www.axios.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg News",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNN",
"url": "https://www.cnn.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "in hierarchical order",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MSNBC",
"url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "NBC",
"url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "person",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Semafor",
"url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Information",
"url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the President of the United States",
"url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Washington Post",
"url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The White House",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}