Will the Presidential Medal of Freedom be awarded in 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]
Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Greenwood · Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 43.0% | $10 | $1.3K | A | KXUSMDLFRDM-…GRE | ||
| Reid Wiseman · Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 40.0% | — | $158 | A | KXUSMDLFRDM-…WIS | ||
| Sean Hannity · Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 31.0% | — | $717 | A | KXUSMDLFRDM-…HAN | ||
| Dana White · Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 30.0% | — | $3.4K | A | KXUSMDLFRDM-…WHI | ||
| Kid Rock · Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 21.0% | — | $330 | A | KXUSMDLFRDM-…ROC | ||
| Sylvester Stallone · Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 20.0% | — | $51 | A | KXUSMDLFRDM-…STA | ||
| Elon Musk · Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 19.0% | — | $137 | A | KXUSMDLFRDM-…MUS | ||
| Bill Belichick · Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 15.0% | — | $8 | A | KXUSMDLFRDM-…BEL | ||
| Dan Scavino · Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 10.0% | — | $8 | A | KXUSMDLFRDM-…SCA |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | ABC | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "ABC" No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxusmdlfrdm-27/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxusmdlfrdm-27.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxusmdlfrdm-27") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-9FPZFWDRJ4",
"slug": "kxusmdlfrdm-27",
"question": "Will the Presidential Medal of Freedom be awarded in 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-politics",
"presidential-honors",
"medal-of-freedom",
"2026-awards",
"individual-recipient"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6140,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "ABC",
"resolution_source_url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}