Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.00%? [ resolved 2026-06-30 ]

{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-W8J78TQV54",
  "slug": "kxustyld-30y26jun30",
  "question": "Will UST Par Yield Curve (30Y) for Q2 2026 be above 4.00%?",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "us-treasury-yields",
    "yield-curve",
    "q2-2026",
    "macroeconomic-indicators",
    "fixed-income"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 16,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 6092,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 100,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
      "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
      "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}