Senate votes on crypto market structure bill, May 16, 2026 [ resolves 2027-01-01 (150D) ]
kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as… | 2027-01-01 | 49.0% | $50 | $4.0K | B | KXVOTECLARIT…T50 | ||
| How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as… | 2027-01-01 | 50.0% | — | $342 | B | KXVOTECLARIT…T55 | ||
| How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as… | 2027-01-01 | 44.0% | — | $473 | B | KXVOTECLARIT…T58 | ||
| How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as… | 2027-01-01 | 26.0% | — | $1.1K | B | KXVOTECLARIT…T60 | ||
| How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as… | 2027-01-01 | 18.0% | — | $370 | B | KXVOTECLARIT…T62 | ||
| How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as… | 2027-01-01 | 11.0% | — | $141 | B | KXVOTECLARIT…T64 | ||
| How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as… | 2027-01-01 | 11.0% | — | $53 | B | KXVOTECLARIT…T66 | ||
| How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as… | 2027-01-01 | 8.0% | — | $27 | B | KXVOTECLARIT…T68 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Library of Congress | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is above 50, then the market resolves to Yes.
KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/crypto-market-structure/kxcryptostructure-26jan
The vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote). If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including "zero" within its count (e.g. "Between 50 and 64") resolves to No, and any market including "zero" (e.g. "Below 50") resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including "100" for the Senate and "435" for the House of Representatives (e.g. "Between 65 and 100" or "Between 300 and 435") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including "100" or "435", respectively, (e.g. "Below 65") resolves to No.
Once the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Library of Congress" sources (2) · single authority
- Library of Congress source of record venue-listed
- Congress.gov from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxvoteclarity-26may16/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxvoteclarity-26may16 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxvoteclarity-26may16") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-CSYS5KPXK6",
"slug": "kxvoteclarity-26may16",
"question": "Senate votes on crypto market structure bill, May 16, 2026",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-senate",
"legislation",
"vote-count",
"clarity-act",
"2027"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6555,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 75,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Library of Congress",
"url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Congress.gov",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}