Will the top two vote-getters in the WA-03 primary advance to the general election? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (120D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 11 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Braun | 2026-11-03 | 97.0% | — | $473 | A | KXWAPRIMARY-…BRA | ||
| Marie Gluesenkamp Perez | 2026-11-03 | 86.0% | — | $5.2K | A | KXWAPRIMARY-…PER | ||
| Brent Hennrich | 2026-11-03 | 8.0% | — | $580 | A | KXWAPRIMARY-…HEN | ||
| Antony Barran | 2026-11-03 | 2.0% | — | $119 | A | KXWAPRIMARY-…BAR | ||
| Austin Braswell | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $35 | A | KXWAPRIMARY-…BRA | ||
| Lawrence Kellogg | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $38 | A | KXWAPRIMARY-…KEL | ||
| John Saulie-Rohman | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $34 | A | KXWAPRIMARY-…SAU | ||
| Troy Rasband | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $38 | A | KXWAPRIMARY-…RAS | ||
| John P Roco | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $39 | A | KXWAPRIMARY-…ROC | ||
| Suzzanna Tanner | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | $1 | $93 | A | KXWAPRIMARY-…TAN | ||
| Wadi Yakhour | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $68 | A | KXWAPRIMARY-…YAK |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Washington Secretary of State | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Antony Barran advances in the 2026 WA-03 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
The top two advancers will resolve to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Washington Secretary of State" sources (1) · single authority
- Washington Secretary of State source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxwaprimary-0326/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxwaprimary-0326 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxwaprimary-0326") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-07CYZ3VM50",
"slug": "kxwaprimary-0326",
"question": "Will the top two vote-getters in the WA-03 primary advance to the general election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"washington-state-politics",
"primary-election",
"us-congress",
"2026-election-cycle",
"candidate-advancement"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6699,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Washington Secretary of State",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Washington Secretary of State",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Washington Secretary of State",
"url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}